Molly Gray holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market, reflecting her status as the Democratic nominee following a decisive August 2026 primary victory with roughly 61% of the vote. The former officeholder (2021–2023) faces Republican incumbent John Rodgers, who advanced unopposed and sits at 13%. Pre-primary surveys from the University of New Hampshire showed Gray leading Rodgers by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Vermont’s recent statewide voting patterns and her established name recognition. Rodgers’s alignment with Governor Phil Scott and limited campaign resources have not narrowed the gap in available data. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late developments reported since the primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Molly Gray (D)
86%
John S. Rodgers (R)
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Molly Gray (D)
$706 Vol.
86%
John S. Rodgers (R)
$491 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market, reflecting her status as the Democratic nominee following a decisive August 2026 primary victory with roughly 61% of the vote. The former officeholder (2021–2023) faces Republican incumbent John Rodgers, who advanced unopposed and sits at 13%. Pre-primary surveys from the University of New Hampshire showed Gray leading Rodgers by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Vermont’s recent statewide voting patterns and her established name recognition. Rodgers’s alignment with Governor Phil Scott and limited campaign resources have not narrowed the gap in available data. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late developments reported since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,197End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market, reflecting her status as the Democratic nominee following a decisive August 2026 primary victory with roughly 61% of the vote. The former officeholder (2021–2023) faces Republican incumbent John Rodgers, who advanced unopposed and sits at 13%. Pre-primary surveys from the University of New Hampshire showed Gray leading Rodgers by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Vermont’s recent statewide voting patterns and her established name recognition. Rodgers’s alignment with Governor Phil Scott and limited campaign resources have not narrowed the gap in available data. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late developments reported since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,197End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Molly Gray holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market, reflecting her status as the Democratic nominee following a decisive August 2026 primary victory with roughly 61% of the vote. The former officeholder (2021–2023) faces Republican incumbent John Rodgers, who advanced unopposed and sits at 13%. Pre-primary surveys from the University of New Hampshire showed Gray leading Rodgers by double digits in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Vermont’s recent statewide voting patterns and her established name recognition. Rodgers’s alignment with Governor Phil Scott and limited campaign resources have not narrowed the gap in available data. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late developments reported since the primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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