**MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge, uploaded August 22, has followed the creator’s standard high-production pattern, posting roughly 52–59 million views by day four before the typical slowdown in daily velocity.** With 514 million subscribers and consistent algorithmic push for long-form spectacle content, traders see the trajectory locking in 60–70 million week-one views at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of the 70–80 million bracket. Recent comparable releases, such as the 57 million week-one result for the July wish-granting video, underscore that even strong challenge formats now face tempered peaks amid Shorts competition and audience habits. Momentum remains solid through watch-time retention and cross-platform sharing, but late-week deceleration keeps higher brackets under 1% odds. The market resolves after the full seven-day window closes around August 29.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M 79%
70-80M 22%
80-90M <1%
90M+ <1%
$170,942 Vol.
$170,942 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
79%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
1%
90M+
<1%
60-70M 79%
70-80M 22%
80-90M <1%
90M+ <1%
$170,942 Vol.
$170,942 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<40M
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
40-50M
$10,146 Vol.
<1%
50-60M
$21,560 Vol.
<1%
60-70M
$58,053 Vol.
79%
70-80M
$33,480 Vol.
22%
80-90M
$25,307 Vol.
1%
90M+
$20,014 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.**MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge, uploaded August 22, has followed the creator’s standard high-production pattern, posting roughly 52–59 million views by day four before the typical slowdown in daily velocity.** With 514 million subscribers and consistent algorithmic push for long-form spectacle content, traders see the trajectory locking in 60–70 million week-one views at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of the 70–80 million bracket. Recent comparable releases, such as the 57 million week-one result for the July wish-granting video, underscore that even strong challenge formats now face tempered peaks amid Shorts competition and audience habits. Momentum remains solid through watch-time retention and cross-platform sharing, but late-week deceleration keeps higher brackets under 1% odds. The market resolves after the full seven-day window closes around August 29.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$170,942End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.**MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge, uploaded August 22, has followed the creator’s standard high-production pattern, posting roughly 52–59 million views by day four before the typical slowdown in daily velocity.** With 514 million subscribers and consistent algorithmic push for long-form spectacle content, traders see the trajectory locking in 60–70 million week-one views at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of the 70–80 million bracket. Recent comparable releases, such as the 57 million week-one result for the July wish-granting video, underscore that even strong challenge formats now face tempered peaks amid Shorts competition and audience habits. Momentum remains solid through watch-time retention and cross-platform sharing, but late-week deceleration keeps higher brackets under 1% odds. The market resolves after the full seven-day window closes around August 29.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$170,942End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge, uploaded August 22, has followed the creator’s standard high-production pattern, posting roughly 52–59 million views by day four before the typical slowdown in daily velocity.** With 514 million subscribers and consistent algorithmic push for long-form spectacle content, traders see the trajectory locking in 60–70 million week-one views at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of the 70–80 million bracket. Recent comparable releases, such as the 57 million week-one result for the July wish-granting video, underscore that even strong challenge formats now face tempered peaks amid Shorts competition and audience habits. Momentum remains solid through watch-time retention and cross-platform sharing, but late-week deceleration keeps higher brackets under 1% odds. The market resolves after the full seven-day window closes around August 29.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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