South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sheri Biggs secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary after winning 71.7 percent of the general election vote in 2024, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a low-turnout primary to face her in November. All major nonpartisan raters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition in the northwestern Piedmont region. A national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-03 House Election Winner
SC-03 House Election Winner
$45,281 Vol.
$45,281 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$45,281 Vol.
$45,281 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$29,644 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,637 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sheri Biggs secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary after winning 71.7 percent of the general election vote in 2024, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a low-turnout primary to face her in November. All major nonpartisan raters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition in the northwestern Piedmont region. A national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,281End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sheri Biggs secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary after winning 71.7 percent of the general election vote in 2024, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a low-turnout primary to face her in November. All major nonpartisan raters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition in the northwestern Piedmont region. A national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,281End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Sheri Biggs secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary after winning 71.7 percent of the general election vote in 2024, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a low-turnout primary to face her in November. All major nonpartisan raters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors, including limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition in the northwestern Piedmont region. A national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions