Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record domestic run and strong theatrical legs have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sixth-million-plus eighth weekend. The Sony tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million in late July, crossed $900 million domestically within five weeks, and became the highest-grossing film ever in North America by mid-September while maintaining a 2.6x multiplier. Its eighth weekend (September 18-20) delivered an estimated $6.5 million, comfortably above lower brackets despite a 23 percent drop and increased competition. With the film already at roughly $945 million domestic and still playing in over 3,000 theaters, only an unprecedented collapse in attendance—far outside historical patterns for similar blockbusters—could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
6m+ 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-4.5m <1%
4.5-5m <1%
$41,104 Vol.
$41,104 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
<1%
4-4.5m
<1%
4.5-5m
<1%
5-5.5m
<1%
5.5-6m
<1%
6m+
100%
6m+ 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-4.5m <1%
4.5-5m <1%
$41,104 Vol.
$41,104 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
4-4.5m
$885 Vol.
<1%
4.5-5m
$3,702 Vol.
<1%
5-5.5m
$4,299 Vol.
<1%
5.5-6m
$8,198 Vol.
<1%
6m+
$23,084 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record domestic run and strong theatrical legs have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sixth-million-plus eighth weekend. The Sony tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million in late July, crossed $900 million domestically within five weeks, and became the highest-grossing film ever in North America by mid-September while maintaining a 2.6x multiplier. Its eighth weekend (September 18-20) delivered an estimated $6.5 million, comfortably above lower brackets despite a 23 percent drop and increased competition. With the film already at roughly $945 million domestic and still playing in over 3,000 theaters, only an unprecedented collapse in attendance—far outside historical patterns for similar blockbusters—could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$41,104End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record domestic run and strong theatrical legs have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sixth-million-plus eighth weekend. The Sony tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million in late July, crossed $900 million domestically within five weeks, and became the highest-grossing film ever in North America by mid-September while maintaining a 2.6x multiplier. Its eighth weekend (September 18-20) delivered an estimated $6.5 million, comfortably above lower brackets despite a 23 percent drop and increased competition. With the film already at roughly $945 million domestic and still playing in over 3,000 theaters, only an unprecedented collapse in attendance—far outside historical patterns for similar blockbusters—could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$41,104End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record domestic run and strong theatrical legs have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sixth-million-plus eighth weekend. The Sony tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million in late July, crossed $900 million domestically within five weeks, and became the highest-grossing film ever in North America by mid-September while maintaining a 2.6x multiplier. Its eighth weekend (September 18-20) delivered an estimated $6.5 million, comfortably above lower brackets despite a 23 percent drop and increased competition. With the film already at roughly $945 million domestic and still playing in over 3,000 theaters, only an unprecedented collapse in attendance—far outside historical patterns for similar blockbusters—could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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