Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Marquette at 37%, Fox News at 39%, Reuters/Ipsos at 35%, and major aggregators clustering near 38%. Persistent inflation, elevated gasoline prices linked to the Iran conflict, and tariff effects on consumer costs remain the dominant drags, eroding support even among some conservatives and independents ahead of the November midterms. With the September 25 measurement only days away, the tight market on the 38.0–38.9 range reflects this recent stability and the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent a major new development. Traders view the wisdom-of-crowds pricing as capturing the narrow band of outcomes supported by the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 46%
38.5–38.9 41%
37.5–37.9 23%
<37.5 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<37.5
22%
37.5–37.9
23%
38.0–38.4
46%
38.5–38.9
41%
39.0–39.4
22%
39.5+
19%
38.0–38.4 46%
38.5–38.9 41%
37.5–37.9 23%
<37.5 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<37.5
$0 Vol.
22%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
23%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
46%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
41%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
22%
39.5+
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Marquette at 37%, Fox News at 39%, Reuters/Ipsos at 35%, and major aggregators clustering near 38%. Persistent inflation, elevated gasoline prices linked to the Iran conflict, and tariff effects on consumer costs remain the dominant drags, eroding support even among some conservatives and independents ahead of the November midterms. With the September 25 measurement only days away, the tight market on the 38.0–38.9 range reflects this recent stability and the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent a major new development. Traders view the wisdom-of-crowds pricing as capturing the narrow band of outcomes supported by the latest data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Marquette at 37%, Fox News at 39%, Reuters/Ipsos at 35%, and major aggregators clustering near 38%. Persistent inflation, elevated gasoline prices linked to the Iran conflict, and tariff effects on consumer costs remain the dominant drags, eroding support even among some conservatives and independents ahead of the November midterms. With the September 25 measurement only days away, the tight market on the 38.0–38.9 range reflects this recent stability and the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent a major new development. Traders view the wisdom-of-crowds pricing as capturing the narrow band of outcomes supported by the latest data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Marquette at 37%, Fox News at 39%, Reuters/Ipsos at 35%, and major aggregators clustering near 38%. Persistent inflation, elevated gasoline prices linked to the Iran conflict, and tariff effects on consumer costs remain the dominant drags, eroding support even among some conservatives and independents ahead of the November midterms. With the September 25 measurement only days away, the tight market on the 38.0–38.9 range reflects this recent stability and the low likelihood of rapid shifts absent a major new development. Traders view the wisdom-of-crowds pricing as capturing the narrow band of outcomes supported by the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions