**Tesla shares closed the prior session near $348.75 amid ongoing post-Q2 2026 digestion, with the stock trading in a mid-$340s to low-$350s range after record quarterly revenue of $28.24 billion but notable margin compression and an EPS miss.** The $325–$330 range leads implied probabilities at 44.5% as traders price in potential near-term consolidation or modest pullback following July earnings volatility, Cybertruck price increases of $5,000 on select variants to offset costs, and a large China recall affecting nearly three million vehicles. Elevated valuation multiples, with forward P/E above 180, continue to weigh on sentiment despite energy storage growth and incremental robotaxi/Cybercab fleet updates. Broader macro factors, including interest-rate path uncertainty and EV competitive pressures, reinforce the clustered probabilities around current levels rather than sharp upside moves into the $350+ bins. The next week features limited company-specific catalysts, keeping focus on trading volume and any shifts in risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$345-$350 13%
$350-$355 13%
$340-$345 13%
$355-$360 11%
<$325
7%
$325-$330
9%
$330-$335
8%
$335-$340
9%
$340-$345
13%
$345-$350
13%
$350-$355
13%
$355-$360
11%
$360-$365
9%
$365-$370
7%
>$370
10%
$345-$350 13%
$350-$355 13%
$340-$345 13%
$355-$360 11%
<$325
7%
$325-$330
9%
$330-$335
8%
$335-$340
9%
$340-$345
13%
$345-$350
13%
$350-$355
13%
$355-$360
11%
$360-$365
9%
$365-$370
7%
>$370
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Tesla shares closed the prior session near $348.75 amid ongoing post-Q2 2026 digestion, with the stock trading in a mid-$340s to low-$350s range after record quarterly revenue of $28.24 billion but notable margin compression and an EPS miss.** The $325–$330 range leads implied probabilities at 44.5% as traders price in potential near-term consolidation or modest pullback following July earnings volatility, Cybertruck price increases of $5,000 on select variants to offset costs, and a large China recall affecting nearly three million vehicles. Elevated valuation multiples, with forward P/E above 180, continue to weigh on sentiment despite energy storage growth and incremental robotaxi/Cybercab fleet updates. Broader macro factors, including interest-rate path uncertainty and EV competitive pressures, reinforce the clustered probabilities around current levels rather than sharp upside moves into the $350+ bins. The next week features limited company-specific catalysts, keeping focus on trading volume and any shifts in risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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