Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid the ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Zelenskyy’s July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked nationwide protests and prompted Fedorov’s August call for wartime elections. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO in mid-August targeted senior presidential office officials, including Iryna Mudra, over alleged money laundering tied to prior scandals, leading to her dismissal and adding pressure on the administration. Military leadership shifts, including the replacement of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, reflect internal divisions between reformers and established figures but have not produced coordinated challenges from security forces or factions. No verified coup attempts by military, security, or state actors have materialized recently, keeping trader-implied probabilities low despite the political friction and scheduled parliamentary actions on ministerial appointments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$169,518 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$169,518 Vol.
December 31
$151,682 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid the ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Zelenskyy’s July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked nationwide protests and prompted Fedorov’s August call for wartime elections. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO in mid-August targeted senior presidential office officials, including Iryna Mudra, over alleged money laundering tied to prior scandals, leading to her dismissal and adding pressure on the administration. Military leadership shifts, including the replacement of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, reflect internal divisions between reformers and established figures but have not produced coordinated challenges from security forces or factions. No verified coup attempts by military, security, or state actors have materialized recently, keeping trader-implied probabilities low despite the political friction and scheduled parliamentary actions on ministerial appointments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,518End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid the ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Zelenskyy’s July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked nationwide protests and prompted Fedorov’s August call for wartime elections. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO in mid-August targeted senior presidential office officials, including Iryna Mudra, over alleged money laundering tied to prior scandals, leading to her dismissal and adding pressure on the administration. Military leadership shifts, including the replacement of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, reflect internal divisions between reformers and established figures but have not produced coordinated challenges from security forces or factions. No verified coup attempts by military, security, or state actors have materialized recently, keeping trader-implied probabilities low despite the political friction and scheduled parliamentary actions on ministerial appointments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,518End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Political tensions in Ukraine have intensified amid the ongoing war with Russia, driven by President Zelenskyy’s July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, which sparked nationwide protests and prompted Fedorov’s August call for wartime elections. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO in mid-August targeted senior presidential office officials, including Iryna Mudra, over alleged money laundering tied to prior scandals, leading to her dismissal and adding pressure on the administration. Military leadership shifts, including the replacement of Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, reflect internal divisions between reformers and established figures but have not produced coordinated challenges from security forces or factions. No verified coup attempts by military, security, or state actors have materialized recently, keeping trader-implied probabilities low despite the political friction and scheduled parliamentary actions on ministerial appointments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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