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Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

icon for Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$711,520 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$711,520 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$41,125 Vol.

8%

icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$95,687 Vol.

8%

icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$29,383 Vol.

8%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$84,120 Vol.

5%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$44,218 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple’s confirmed CEO transition drives much of the current trader focus, with Tim Cook stepping down September 1, 2026, after a farewell event and handing operational control to hardware chief John Ternus ahead of the September product launch featuring the company’s first foldable iPhone. This shift aligns with Apple’s push to accelerate AI integration amid competitive pressure. OpenAI’s repeated C-suite departures—including its COO, chief revenue officer, and data center head—amid reorganizations and a 2027 IPO target highlight execution risks for Sam Altman, while Google’s AI leadership reshuffle saw Demis Hassabis move to chairman and chief scientist alongside Jeff Dean’s exit to a startup, testing Sundar Pichai’s oversight of Gemini. These moves reflect broader AI-driven executive churn, with upcoming earnings and developer events likely to influence remaining probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$711,520
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple’s confirmed CEO transition drives much of the current trader focus, with Tim Cook stepping down September 1, 2026, after a farewell event and handing operational control to hardware chief John Ternus ahead of the September product launch featuring the company’s first foldable iPhone. This shift aligns with Apple’s push to accelerate AI integration amid competitive pressure. OpenAI’s repeated C-suite departures—including its COO, chief revenue officer, and data center head—amid reorganizations and a 2027 IPO target highlight execution risks for Sam Altman, while Google’s AI leadership reshuffle saw Demis Hassabis move to chairman and chief scientist alongside Jeff Dean’s exit to a startup, testing Sundar Pichai’s oversight of Gemini. These moves reflect broader AI-driven executive churn, with upcoming earnings and developer events likely to influence remaining probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$711,520
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 100%, followed by "Sundar Pichai - Google" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" has generated $711.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sundar Pichai - Google" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.