Diplomatic efforts to revive direct US-Iran talks have centered on mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, with Qatar’s prime minister meeting Iranian officials in Tehran on August 27–28 to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation. The June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without a permanent agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or shipping lanes, and the White House has stated that no US-Iran negotiations are currently underway. Past technical rounds occurred in Switzerland and via intermediaries earlier in 2026, but recent messaging indicates stalled progress and reliance on indirect channels. With the August 31 deadline two days away, any attendance would likely require rapid movement through third parties or a last-minute breakthrough on Hormuz access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$100,471 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Nick Stewart
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
$100,471 Vol.
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,518 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$11,542 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,325 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$15,553 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,782 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,930 Vol.
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,828 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,440 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$1,033 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$7,173 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts to revive direct US-Iran talks have centered on mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, with Qatar’s prime minister meeting Iranian officials in Tehran on August 27–28 to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation. The June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without a permanent agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or shipping lanes, and the White House has stated that no US-Iran negotiations are currently underway. Past technical rounds occurred in Switzerland and via intermediaries earlier in 2026, but recent messaging indicates stalled progress and reliance on indirect channels. With the August 31 deadline two days away, any attendance would likely require rapid movement through third parties or a last-minute breakthrough on Hormuz access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$100,471End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts to revive direct US-Iran talks have centered on mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, with Qatar’s prime minister meeting Iranian officials in Tehran on August 27–28 to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation. The June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without a permanent agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or shipping lanes, and the White House has stated that no US-Iran negotiations are currently underway. Past technical rounds occurred in Switzerland and via intermediaries earlier in 2026, but recent messaging indicates stalled progress and reliance on indirect channels. With the August 31 deadline two days away, any attendance would likely require rapid movement through third parties or a last-minute breakthrough on Hormuz access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,471End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic efforts to revive direct US-Iran talks have centered on mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, with Qatar’s prime minister meeting Iranian officials in Tehran on August 27–28 to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation. The June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired in mid-August without a permanent agreement on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, or shipping lanes, and the White House has stated that no US-Iran negotiations are currently underway. Past technical rounds occurred in Switzerland and via intermediaries earlier in 2026, but recent messaging indicates stalled progress and reliance on indirect channels. With the August 31 deadline two days away, any attendance would likely require rapid movement through third parties or a last-minute breakthrough on Hormuz access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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