Stripe and Advent International’s July $53 billion bid for PayPal at $60.50 per share has been rejected by the board as inadequate, with PayPal holding out for roughly $70 amid its Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year outlook that reinforced negotiating leverage. Negotiations for a higher price continued into mid-August without a signed deal, leaving limited time for regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and closing before year-end. PayPal’s ongoing cost-cutting turnaround under new leadership and Stripe’s focus on stablecoin and merchant synergies have not yet bridged the valuation gap, supporting trader consensus that a 2026 transaction remains unlikely despite active discussions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated26% chance
$82,361 Vol.
$82,361 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
26% chance
$82,361 Vol.
$82,361 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and Advent International’s July $53 billion bid for PayPal at $60.50 per share has been rejected by the board as inadequate, with PayPal holding out for roughly $70 amid its Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year outlook that reinforced negotiating leverage. Negotiations for a higher price continued into mid-August without a signed deal, leaving limited time for regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and closing before year-end. PayPal’s ongoing cost-cutting turnaround under new leadership and Stripe’s focus on stablecoin and merchant synergies have not yet bridged the valuation gap, supporting trader consensus that a 2026 transaction remains unlikely despite active discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$82,361End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and Advent International’s July $53 billion bid for PayPal at $60.50 per share has been rejected by the board as inadequate, with PayPal holding out for roughly $70 amid its Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year outlook that reinforced negotiating leverage. Negotiations for a higher price continued into mid-August without a signed deal, leaving limited time for regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and closing before year-end. PayPal’s ongoing cost-cutting turnaround under new leadership and Stripe’s focus on stablecoin and merchant synergies have not yet bridged the valuation gap, supporting trader consensus that a 2026 transaction remains unlikely despite active discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,361End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stripe and Advent International’s July $53 billion bid for PayPal at $60.50 per share has been rejected by the board as inadequate, with PayPal holding out for roughly $70 amid its Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year outlook that reinforced negotiating leverage. Negotiations for a higher price continued into mid-August without a signed deal, leaving limited time for regulatory reviews, financing finalization, and closing before year-end. PayPal’s ongoing cost-cutting turnaround under new leadership and Stripe’s focus on stablecoin and merchant synergies have not yet bridged the valuation gap, supporting trader consensus that a 2026 transaction remains unlikely despite active discussions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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