Despite repeated presidential statements on acquiring Greenland, the Strait of Hormuz, or other areas amid the 2026 Iran conflict, no official U.S. annexation has occurred through August. Denmark, Greenland, Iran, and Oman have rejected all overtures, while international law and post-1945 sovereignty norms constrain forcible claims. Domestic requirements—including Senate ratification for territorial changes, congressional funding, and polling showing over 85% opposition to military options—further limit action. Trader consensus at 94.5% for “No” aligns with these barriers and the absence of completed legislation or transfers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5% chance
$154,865 Vol.
$154,865 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% chance
$154,865 Vol.
$154,865 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite repeated presidential statements on acquiring Greenland, the Strait of Hormuz, or other areas amid the 2026 Iran conflict, no official U.S. annexation has occurred through August. Denmark, Greenland, Iran, and Oman have rejected all overtures, while international law and post-1945 sovereignty norms constrain forcible claims. Domestic requirements—including Senate ratification for territorial changes, congressional funding, and polling showing over 85% opposition to military options—further limit action. Trader consensus at 94.5% for “No” aligns with these barriers and the absence of completed legislation or transfers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$154,865End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite repeated presidential statements on acquiring Greenland, the Strait of Hormuz, or other areas amid the 2026 Iran conflict, no official U.S. annexation has occurred through August. Denmark, Greenland, Iran, and Oman have rejected all overtures, while international law and post-1945 sovereignty norms constrain forcible claims. Domestic requirements—including Senate ratification for territorial changes, congressional funding, and polling showing over 85% opposition to military options—further limit action. Trader consensus at 94.5% for “No” aligns with these barriers and the absence of completed legislation or transfers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,865End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite repeated presidential statements on acquiring Greenland, the Strait of Hormuz, or other areas amid the 2026 Iran conflict, no official U.S. annexation has occurred through August. Denmark, Greenland, Iran, and Oman have rejected all overtures, while international law and post-1945 sovereignty norms constrain forcible claims. Domestic requirements—including Senate ratification for territorial changes, congressional funding, and polling showing over 85% opposition to military options—further limit action. Trader consensus at 94.5% for “No” aligns with these barriers and the absence of completed legislation or transfers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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