Multiple frontier large language models, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, achieved official IMO-graded perfect scores of 42/42 on the 2026 problems released after the human contest in Shanghai, while others such as GPT-5.6 variants and open-weight systems like DeepSeek V4 Flash reached or exceeded the 29-point gold threshold in independent evaluations. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 80.5% reflects the market’s strict resolution criteria: the IMO remains limited to human high-school contestants under official rules, with no AI team entered or awarded a medal during the live event. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal rule changes or official recognition announcements before year-end, though historical precedent and the separate post-competition testing format continue to anchor the heavy “No” positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated20% chance
$10,014 Vol.
$10,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
20% chance
$10,014 Vol.
$10,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Multiple frontier large language models, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, achieved official IMO-graded perfect scores of 42/42 on the 2026 problems released after the human contest in Shanghai, while others such as GPT-5.6 variants and open-weight systems like DeepSeek V4 Flash reached or exceeded the 29-point gold threshold in independent evaluations. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 80.5% reflects the market’s strict resolution criteria: the IMO remains limited to human high-school contestants under official rules, with no AI team entered or awarded a medal during the live event. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal rule changes or official recognition announcements before year-end, though historical precedent and the separate post-competition testing format continue to anchor the heavy “No” positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$10,014End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Multiple frontier large language models, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, achieved official IMO-graded perfect scores of 42/42 on the 2026 problems released after the human contest in Shanghai, while others such as GPT-5.6 variants and open-weight systems like DeepSeek V4 Flash reached or exceeded the 29-point gold threshold in independent evaluations. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 80.5% reflects the market’s strict resolution criteria: the IMO remains limited to human high-school contestants under official rules, with no AI team entered or awarded a medal during the live event. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal rule changes or official recognition announcements before year-end, though historical precedent and the separate post-competition testing format continue to anchor the heavy “No” positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$10,014End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple frontier large language models, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, achieved official IMO-graded perfect scores of 42/42 on the 2026 problems released after the human contest in Shanghai, while others such as GPT-5.6 variants and open-weight systems like DeepSeek V4 Flash reached or exceeded the 29-point gold threshold in independent evaluations. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 80.5% reflects the market’s strict resolution criteria: the IMO remains limited to human high-school contestants under official rules, with no AI team entered or awarded a medal during the live event. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal rule changes or official recognition announcements before year-end, though historical precedent and the separate post-competition testing format continue to anchor the heavy “No” positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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