Amazon’s Q2 2026 results drove the primary catalyst, with management raising full-year 2026 cash capex guidance to approximately $220 billion from the prior $200 billion target, citing higher memory chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand. AWS revenue accelerated to 37% year-over-year growth, supported by a $496 billion backlog and multiple AI-related businesses exceeding $25 billion annualized run rates, while operating cash flow rose 33% but free cash flow turned negative $7.6 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis amid elevated equipment purchases. The company issued $25 billion in bonds to fund data-center expansion and signaled capacity constraints will likely persist into 2027. Traders assessing thresholds around these levels weigh accelerating cloud demand and cost pressures against potential margin and cash-flow impacts ahead of Q3 results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$19,819 Vol.
Apr 29, 2027
$170 billion
89%
$180 billion
97%
$190 billion
94%
$200 billion
84%
$210 billion
74%
$220 billion
63%
$19,819 Vol.
$170 billion
$795 Vol.
89%
$180 billion
$6,091 Vol.
97%
$190 billion
$5,252 Vol.
94%
$200 billion
$4,164 Vol.
84%
$210 billion
$1,384 Vol.
74%
$220 billion
$2,132 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s Q2 2026 results drove the primary catalyst, with management raising full-year 2026 cash capex guidance to approximately $220 billion from the prior $200 billion target, citing higher memory chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand. AWS revenue accelerated to 37% year-over-year growth, supported by a $496 billion backlog and multiple AI-related businesses exceeding $25 billion annualized run rates, while operating cash flow rose 33% but free cash flow turned negative $7.6 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis amid elevated equipment purchases. The company issued $25 billion in bonds to fund data-center expansion and signaled capacity constraints will likely persist into 2027. Traders assessing thresholds around these levels weigh accelerating cloud demand and cost pressures against potential margin and cash-flow impacts ahead of Q3 results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$19,819End Date
Apr 30, 2027Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon’s Q2 2026 results drove the primary catalyst, with management raising full-year 2026 cash capex guidance to approximately $220 billion from the prior $200 billion target, citing higher memory chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand. AWS revenue accelerated to 37% year-over-year growth, supported by a $496 billion backlog and multiple AI-related businesses exceeding $25 billion annualized run rates, while operating cash flow rose 33% but free cash flow turned negative $7.6 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis amid elevated equipment purchases. The company issued $25 billion in bonds to fund data-center expansion and signaled capacity constraints will likely persist into 2027. Traders assessing thresholds around these levels weigh accelerating cloud demand and cost pressures against potential margin and cash-flow impacts ahead of Q3 results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Volume
$19,819End Date
Apr 30, 2027Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon’s Q2 2026 results drove the primary catalyst, with management raising full-year 2026 cash capex guidance to approximately $220 billion from the prior $200 billion target, citing higher memory chip costs and sustained AI infrastructure demand. AWS revenue accelerated to 37% year-over-year growth, supported by a $496 billion backlog and multiple AI-related businesses exceeding $25 billion annualized run rates, while operating cash flow rose 33% but free cash flow turned negative $7.6 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis amid elevated equipment purchases. The company issued $25 billion in bonds to fund data-center expansion and signaled capacity constraints will likely persist into 2027. Traders assessing thresholds around these levels weigh accelerating cloud demand and cost pressures against potential margin and cash-flow impacts ahead of Q3 results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions