**Traders assign an implied 91.5% probability to “No” on conviction of Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) by the July 31, 2027 resolution deadline because the case remains in early pre-trial stages with no trial date set.** Eatherly faces felony charges including attempted criminal homicide, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor counts from an earlier Nashville restaurant incident. Proceedings have advanced only to grand jury bind-over, with Eatherly released in early August on $1 million bond under house arrest, GPS monitoring, curfew, firearm restrictions, and a gag order. Tennessee courts typically require substantially longer timelines for serious felonies involving discovery, motions practice, and scheduling, making a completed trial and judgment within the roughly 14-month window from arrest statistically improbable without unusual acceleration. Defense counsel has already filed motions, consistent with standard efforts to extend proceedings. The market’s heavy weighting toward “No” reflects trader assessment of these structural delays rather than any assessment of evidence strength or ultimate outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10% chance
$15,424 Vol.
$15,424 Vol.
Jul 30, 2027
10% chance
$15,424 Vol.
$15,424 Vol.
Jul 30, 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Traders assign an implied 91.5% probability to “No” on conviction of Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) by the July 31, 2027 resolution deadline because the case remains in early pre-trial stages with no trial date set.**
Eatherly faces felony charges including attempted criminal homicide, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor counts from an earlier Nashville restaurant incident. Proceedings have advanced only to grand jury bind-over, with Eatherly released in early August on $1 million bond under house arrest, GPS monitoring, curfew, firearm restrictions, and a gag order. Tennessee courts typically require substantially longer timelines for serious felonies involving discovery, motions practice, and scheduling, making a completed trial and judgment within the roughly 14-month window from arrest statistically improbable without unusual acceleration. Defense counsel has already filed motions, consistent with standard efforts to extend proceedings. The market’s heavy weighting toward “No” reflects trader assessment of these structural delays rather than any assessment of evidence strength or ultimate outcome.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,424End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Traders assign an implied 91.5% probability to “No” on conviction of Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) by the July 31, 2027 resolution deadline because the case remains in early pre-trial stages with no trial date set.**
Eatherly faces felony charges including attempted criminal homicide, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor counts from an earlier Nashville restaurant incident. Proceedings have advanced only to grand jury bind-over, with Eatherly released in early August on $1 million bond under house arrest, GPS monitoring, curfew, firearm restrictions, and a gag order. Tennessee courts typically require substantially longer timelines for serious felonies involving discovery, motions practice, and scheduling, making a completed trial and judgment within the roughly 14-month window from arrest statistically improbable without unusual acceleration. Defense counsel has already filed motions, consistent with standard efforts to extend proceedings. The market’s heavy weighting toward “No” reflects trader assessment of these structural delays rather than any assessment of evidence strength or ultimate outcome.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$15,424End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an implied 91.5% probability to “No” on conviction of Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) by the July 31, 2027 resolution deadline because the case remains in early pre-trial stages with no trial date set.** Eatherly faces felony charges including attempted criminal homicide, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment stemming from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor counts from an earlier Nashville restaurant incident. Proceedings have advanced only to grand jury bind-over, with Eatherly released in early August on $1 million bond under house arrest, GPS monitoring, curfew, firearm restrictions, and a gag order. Tennessee courts typically require substantially longer timelines for serious felonies involving discovery, motions practice, and scheduling, making a completed trial and judgment within the roughly 14-month window from arrest statistically improbable without unusual acceleration. Defense counsel has already filed motions, consistent with standard efforts to extend proceedings. The market’s heavy weighting toward “No” reflects trader assessment of these structural delays rather than any assessment of evidence strength or ultimate outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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