Elon Musk’s X posting pace has averaged 40–50 qualifying posts daily in recent resolved periods, producing weekly totals that frequently land in the 140–199 range when no major breaking events intervene. The current market’s tight clustering around 140–159 and 160–179 reflects this baseline, tempered by the weekend days embedded in the Aug 25–Sep 1 window, which have historically trimmed volume in shorter brackets. Recent settlements show wide swings—such as a 320-plus spike on Aug 25 versus 40–64 on quieter stretches—driven by SpaceX updates, AI commentary, and political exchanges rather than any single confirmed catalyst this week. Traders are pricing moderate consistency through Labor Day, with any late surge in Starship or Grok-related activity as the main swing factor before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 29%
140-159 28.4%
180-199 17%
120-139 12.8%
$1,122,523 Vol.
$1,122,523 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
13%
140-159
28%
160-179
29%
180-199
17%
200-219
8%
220-239
3%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 29%
140-159 28.4%
180-199 17%
120-139 12.8%
$1,122,523 Vol.
$1,122,523 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
13%
140-159
28%
160-179
29%
180-199
17%
200-219
8%
220-239
3%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s X posting pace has averaged 40–50 qualifying posts daily in recent resolved periods, producing weekly totals that frequently land in the 140–199 range when no major breaking events intervene. The current market’s tight clustering around 140–159 and 160–179 reflects this baseline, tempered by the weekend days embedded in the Aug 25–Sep 1 window, which have historically trimmed volume in shorter brackets. Recent settlements show wide swings—such as a 320-plus spike on Aug 25 versus 40–64 on quieter stretches—driven by SpaceX updates, AI commentary, and political exchanges rather than any single confirmed catalyst this week. Traders are pricing moderate consistency through Labor Day, with any late surge in Starship or Grok-related activity as the main swing factor before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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