Recent periods show Elon Musk averaging 30–50 daily posts on weekdays but dropping sharply on weekends, placing the three-day total comfortably inside the 40–64 bracket that commands 53.5% market-implied odds. The Aug 29–31 window includes a weekend stretch with historically lighter engagement, and no major political flashpoints, product launches, or X-platform controversies have surfaced to drive sustained reply chains or commentary surges. Traders have priced higher brackets below 15% combined, reflecting recent three-day resolutions that repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid range absent external catalysts. Upcoming chart or news updates through Labor Day weekend remain the only realistic swing factors that could push volume above 65.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 54%
<40 30%
65-89 14%
90-114 3.3%
NEW
$96,064 Vol.
NEW
$96,064 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<40
30%
40-64
54%
65-89
14%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 54%
<40 30%
65-89 14%
90-114 3.3%
NEW
$96,064 Vol.
NEW
$96,064 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<40
$15,181 Vol.
30%
40-64
$13,718 Vol.
54%
65-89
$9,400 Vol.
14%
90-114
$11,628 Vol.
3%
115-139
$27,551 Vol.
1%
140-164
$6,049 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$6,564 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,888 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$811 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent periods show Elon Musk averaging 30–50 daily posts on weekdays but dropping sharply on weekends, placing the three-day total comfortably inside the 40–64 bracket that commands 53.5% market-implied odds. The Aug 29–31 window includes a weekend stretch with historically lighter engagement, and no major political flashpoints, product launches, or X-platform controversies have surfaced to drive sustained reply chains or commentary surges. Traders have priced higher brackets below 15% combined, reflecting recent three-day resolutions that repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid range absent external catalysts. Upcoming chart or news updates through Labor Day weekend remain the only realistic swing factors that could push volume above 65.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$96,064End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent periods show Elon Musk averaging 30–50 daily posts on weekdays but dropping sharply on weekends, placing the three-day total comfortably inside the 40–64 bracket that commands 53.5% market-implied odds. The Aug 29–31 window includes a weekend stretch with historically lighter engagement, and no major political flashpoints, product launches, or X-platform controversies have surfaced to drive sustained reply chains or commentary surges. Traders have priced higher brackets below 15% combined, reflecting recent three-day resolutions that repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid range absent external catalysts. Upcoming chart or news updates through Labor Day weekend remain the only realistic swing factors that could push volume above 65.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$96,064End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent periods show Elon Musk averaging 30–50 daily posts on weekdays but dropping sharply on weekends, placing the three-day total comfortably inside the 40–64 bracket that commands 53.5% market-implied odds. The Aug 29–31 window includes a weekend stretch with historically lighter engagement, and no major political flashpoints, product launches, or X-platform controversies have surfaced to drive sustained reply chains or commentary surges. Traders have priced higher brackets below 15% combined, reflecting recent three-day resolutions that repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid range absent external catalysts. Upcoming chart or news updates through Labor Day weekend remain the only realistic swing factors that could push volume above 65.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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