Kate O’Flynn leads the market at 64.6% implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys thanks to breakout critical acclaim and strong industry buzz for her sardonic performance in the freshman Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 nominations overall. Hannah Einbinder sits at 24.5% as the defending winner from “Hacks,” whose final season secured a record 24 nods, yet traders have shifted away from a repeat as “Widow’s Bay” momentum grows. Supporting contenders like Megan Stalter (4.3%), Michelle Pfeiffer (3.9%), and Janelle James (3.8%) trail amid a competitive field defined by precursor signals, guild attention, and the September 14 ceremony. Episode submissions and late-summer FYC events have reinforced O’Flynn’s frontrunner status while underscoring the category’s unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 64.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.9%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
65%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 64.7%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks” 4.3%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.9%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
65%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
4%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn leads the market at 64.6% implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Emmys thanks to breakout critical acclaim and strong industry buzz for her sardonic performance in the freshman Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 nominations overall. Hannah Einbinder sits at 24.5% as the defending winner from “Hacks,” whose final season secured a record 24 nods, yet traders have shifted away from a repeat as “Widow’s Bay” momentum grows. Supporting contenders like Megan Stalter (4.3%), Michelle Pfeiffer (3.9%), and Janelle James (3.8%) trail amid a competitive field defined by precursor signals, guild attention, and the September 14 ceremony. Episode submissions and late-summer FYC events have reinforced O’Flynn’s frontrunner status while underscoring the category’s unpredictability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions