**Republican incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters.** Jack advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured her party’s nomination with roughly 61% in the Democratic primary. The district’s partisan lean and Jack’s prior performance, including a substantial 2024 margin, underpin trader expectations that one candidate—most likely Jack—will exceed 50% on election night and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff threshold. No recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have indicated a tightening contest capable of producing a plurality outcome. This consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the Republican nominee and the absence of factors that historically trigger runoffs in Georgia House races.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated97% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
97% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**Republican incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters.** Jack advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured her party’s nomination with roughly 61% in the Democratic primary. The district’s partisan lean and Jack’s prior performance, including a substantial 2024 margin, underpin trader expectations that one candidate—most likely Jack—will exceed 50% on election night and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff threshold. No recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have indicated a tightening contest capable of producing a plurality outcome. This consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the Republican nominee and the absence of factors that historically trigger runoffs in Georgia House races.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$152End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**Republican incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters.** Jack advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured her party’s nomination with roughly 61% in the Democratic primary. The district’s partisan lean and Jack’s prior performance, including a substantial 2024 margin, underpin trader expectations that one candidate—most likely Jack—will exceed 50% on election night and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff threshold. No recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have indicated a tightening contest capable of producing a plurality outcome. This consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the Republican nominee and the absence of factors that historically trigger runoffs in Georgia House races.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Volume
$152End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Republican incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters.** Jack advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured her party’s nomination with roughly 61% in the Democratic primary. The district’s partisan lean and Jack’s prior performance, including a substantial 2024 margin, underpin trader expectations that one candidate—most likely Jack—will exceed 50% on election night and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff threshold. No recent polling, endorsements, or campaign developments have indicated a tightening contest capable of producing a plurality outcome. This consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages for the Republican nominee and the absence of factors that historically trigger runoffs in Georgia House races.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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