Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by the state legislature under Gov. DeSantis, carries an R+4 partisan voting index and rates as Lean Republican across major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat—spanning parts of Broward, Palm Beach, and southwest Florida—shifted from prior Democratic-leaning performance to favor Republicans after 2024 voting patterns showed a 10-point Trump margin in the new lines. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya easily won the Democratic primary. Both parties have signaled outside spending, but the district’s structural lean and lack of an incumbent underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$39,770 Vol.
$39,770 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
$39,770 Vol.
$39,770 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,805 Vol.
60%
Democratic Party
$16,965 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by the state legislature under Gov. DeSantis, carries an R+4 partisan voting index and rates as Lean Republican across major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat—spanning parts of Broward, Palm Beach, and southwest Florida—shifted from prior Democratic-leaning performance to favor Republicans after 2024 voting patterns showed a 10-point Trump margin in the new lines. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya easily won the Democratic primary. Both parties have signaled outside spending, but the district’s structural lean and lack of an incumbent underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,770End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by the state legislature under Gov. DeSantis, carries an R+4 partisan voting index and rates as Lean Republican across major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat—spanning parts of Broward, Palm Beach, and southwest Florida—shifted from prior Democratic-leaning performance to favor Republicans after 2024 voting patterns showed a 10-point Trump margin in the new lines. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya easily won the Democratic primary. Both parties have signaled outside spending, but the district’s structural lean and lack of an incumbent underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,770End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 by the state legislature under Gov. DeSantis, carries an R+4 partisan voting index and rates as Lean Republican across major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat—spanning parts of Broward, Palm Beach, and southwest Florida—shifted from prior Democratic-leaning performance to favor Republicans after 2024 voting patterns showed a 10-point Trump margin in the new lines. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya easily won the Democratic primary. Both parties have signaled outside spending, but the district’s structural lean and lack of an incumbent underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee heading into the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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