**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices centers on the $4.00–$5.00 band as neocloud and marketplace providers maintain median on-demand rates near $4.47–$4.50 per GPU-hour.** Recent mid-August shipments of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese buyers (ByteDance and Tencent) have eased Western supply constraints without triggering a broad price drop, keeping spot and community rates in the $2.45–$3.59 range while committed capacity holds firmer. Differentiating factors include memory-optimized 141 GB HBM3e variants commanding premiums over H100, hyperscaler listings at $7–$10.60 versus neocloud options at $3–$4.59, and ongoing AI inference demand that offsets incremental availability. With resolution imminent, the tight split between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether the final observed median settles just above or below $4.50 amid stable but segmented provider pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 38%
$4.00-$4.50 12%
$5.00-$5.50 7%
<$4.00 6.9%
$45,341 Vol.
$45,341 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
7%
$4.00-$4.50
29%
$4.50-$5.00
53%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50-$6.00
2%
$6.00+
5%
$4.50-$5.00 38%
$4.00-$4.50 12%
$5.00-$5.50 7%
<$4.00 6.9%
$45,341 Vol.
$45,341 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
$3,483 Vol.
7%
$4.00-$4.50
$12,260 Vol.
29%
$4.50-$5.00
$11,728 Vol.
53%
$5.00-$5.50
$8,380 Vol.
11%
$5.50-$6.00
$4,608 Vol.
2%
$6.00+
$4,881 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices centers on the $4.00–$5.00 band as neocloud and marketplace providers maintain median on-demand rates near $4.47–$4.50 per GPU-hour.** Recent mid-August shipments of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese buyers (ByteDance and Tencent) have eased Western supply constraints without triggering a broad price drop, keeping spot and community rates in the $2.45–$3.59 range while committed capacity holds firmer. Differentiating factors include memory-optimized 141 GB HBM3e variants commanding premiums over H100, hyperscaler listings at $7–$10.60 versus neocloud options at $3–$4.59, and ongoing AI inference demand that offsets incremental availability. With resolution imminent, the tight split between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether the final observed median settles just above or below $4.50 amid stable but segmented provider pricing.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$45,341End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices centers on the $4.00–$5.00 band as neocloud and marketplace providers maintain median on-demand rates near $4.47–$4.50 per GPU-hour.** Recent mid-August shipments of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese buyers (ByteDance and Tencent) have eased Western supply constraints without triggering a broad price drop, keeping spot and community rates in the $2.45–$3.59 range while committed capacity holds firmer. Differentiating factors include memory-optimized 141 GB HBM3e variants commanding premiums over H100, hyperscaler listings at $7–$10.60 versus neocloud options at $3–$4.59, and ongoing AI inference demand that offsets incremental availability. With resolution imminent, the tight split between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether the final observed median settles just above or below $4.50 amid stable but segmented provider pricing.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$45,341End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on H200 rental prices centers on the $4.00–$5.00 band as neocloud and marketplace providers maintain median on-demand rates near $4.47–$4.50 per GPU-hour.** Recent mid-August shipments of roughly 20,000 units to Chinese buyers (ByteDance and Tencent) have eased Western supply constraints without triggering a broad price drop, keeping spot and community rates in the $2.45–$3.59 range while committed capacity holds firmer. Differentiating factors include memory-optimized 141 GB HBM3e variants commanding premiums over H100, hyperscaler listings at $7–$10.60 versus neocloud options at $3–$4.59, and ongoing AI inference demand that offsets incremental availability. With resolution imminent, the tight split between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether the final observed median settles just above or below $4.50 amid stable but segmented provider pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions