Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 24 and 29, 2026, with the largest events limited to M6.0 in the Banda Sea and off Somalia. This aligns with the inherent variability in global seismicity, where M6.5+ quakes average roughly one every few days but can cluster or show lulls depending on tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults. With only the final day of the resolution window remaining and current model consensus showing no imminent large events, trader sentiment heavily favors zero occurrences. USGS data releases and ongoing aftershock monitoring in active regions like Indonesia could still influence final counts if an unexpected event registers before period close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
0 89%
1 11%
3 1.1%
2 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
0
89%
1
11%
2
1%
3
1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
more than 5
<1%
0 89%
1 11%
3 1.1%
2 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
0
$4,384 Vol.
89%
1
$1,413 Vol.
11%
2
$789 Vol.
1%
3
$1,051 Vol.
1%
4
$551 Vol.
<1%
5
$670 Vol.
<1%
more than 5
$830 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 24 and 29, 2026, with the largest events limited to M6.0 in the Banda Sea and off Somalia. This aligns with the inherent variability in global seismicity, where M6.5+ quakes average roughly one every few days but can cluster or show lulls depending on tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults. With only the final day of the resolution window remaining and current model consensus showing no imminent large events, trader sentiment heavily favors zero occurrences. USGS data releases and ongoing aftershock monitoring in active regions like Indonesia could still influence final counts if an unexpected event registers before period close.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
Volume
$9,687End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 24 and 29, 2026, with the largest events limited to M6.0 in the Banda Sea and off Somalia. This aligns with the inherent variability in global seismicity, where M6.5+ quakes average roughly one every few days but can cluster or show lulls depending on tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults. With only the final day of the resolution window remaining and current model consensus showing no imminent large events, trader sentiment heavily favors zero occurrences. USGS data releases and ongoing aftershock monitoring in active regions like Indonesia could still influence final counts if an unexpected event registers before period close.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$9,687End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates no earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 24 and 29, 2026, with the largest events limited to M6.0 in the Banda Sea and off Somalia. This aligns with the inherent variability in global seismicity, where M6.5+ quakes average roughly one every few days but can cluster or show lulls depending on tectonic stress release along subduction zones and transform faults. With only the final day of the resolution window remaining and current model consensus showing no imminent large events, trader sentiment heavily favors zero occurrences. USGS data releases and ongoing aftershock monitoring in active regions like Indonesia could still influence final counts if an unexpected event registers before period close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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