Kansas midterm Senate races typically draw turnout between historical 2022 levels around 47-50% of eligible voters and elevated participation seen in higher-profile cycles. With Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in a race rated Likely Republican, trader consensus clusters around 1.0-1.2 million ballots because primary participation (roughly 333,000 Republican and 218,000 Democratic votes on August 4) offers limited guidance for November, while factors such as early voting access, mail ballot usage, and broader national midterm dynamics could push totals higher or lower. The close pricing between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over base enthusiasm and potential late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1M-1.1M 47%
1.2M+ 43%
1.1M-1.2M 42%
900K-1M 39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
37%
800K-900K
36%
900K-1M
39%
1M-1.1M
47%
1.1M-1.2M
42%
1.2M+
43%
1M-1.1M 47%
1.2M+ 43%
1.1M-1.2M 42%
900K-1M 39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
$24 Vol.
37%
800K-900K
$24 Vol.
36%
900K-1M
$24 Vol.
39%
1M-1.1M
$24 Vol.
47%
1.1M-1.2M
$24 Vol.
42%
1.2M+
$24 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas midterm Senate races typically draw turnout between historical 2022 levels around 47-50% of eligible voters and elevated participation seen in higher-profile cycles. With Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in a race rated Likely Republican, trader consensus clusters around 1.0-1.2 million ballots because primary participation (roughly 333,000 Republican and 218,000 Democratic votes on August 4) offers limited guidance for November, while factors such as early voting access, mail ballot usage, and broader national midterm dynamics could push totals higher or lower. The close pricing between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over base enthusiasm and potential late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volume
$144End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas midterm Senate races typically draw turnout between historical 2022 levels around 47-50% of eligible voters and elevated participation seen in higher-profile cycles. With Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in a race rated Likely Republican, trader consensus clusters around 1.0-1.2 million ballots because primary participation (roughly 333,000 Republican and 218,000 Democratic votes on August 4) offers limited guidance for November, while factors such as early voting access, mail ballot usage, and broader national midterm dynamics could push totals higher or lower. The close pricing between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over base enthusiasm and potential late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kansas midterm Senate races typically draw turnout between historical 2022 levels around 47-50% of eligible voters and elevated participation seen in higher-profile cycles. With Republican incumbent Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton in a race rated Likely Republican, trader consensus clusters around 1.0-1.2 million ballots because primary participation (roughly 333,000 Republican and 218,000 Democratic votes on August 4) offers limited guidance for November, while factors such as early voting access, mail ballot usage, and broader national midterm dynamics could push totals higher or lower. The close pricing between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over base enthusiasm and potential late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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