**Hannah Pingree**, the Democratic nominee and former Maine House speaker, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open-seat gubernatorial race due to consistent polling margins of 10–15 points over Republican nominee **Bobby Charles**, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state. Maine’s recent statewide voting patterns, the endorsement from term-limited Democratic Governor **Janet Mills**, and Pingree’s established name recognition from her legislative record have anchored trader confidence near 95%. An independent candidacy by state Senator **Rick Bennett** registers in single digits and has not shifted the race into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as national political shocks, candidate scandals, or unusually high independent turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence shows no such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$33,006 Vol.
$33,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
4%
$33,006 Vol.
$33,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$25,899 Vol.
95%
Republican
$7,107 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Hannah Pingree**, the Democratic nominee and former Maine House speaker, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open-seat gubernatorial race due to consistent polling margins of 10–15 points over Republican nominee **Bobby Charles**, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state. Maine’s recent statewide voting patterns, the endorsement from term-limited Democratic Governor **Janet Mills**, and Pingree’s established name recognition from her legislative record have anchored trader confidence near 95%. An independent candidacy by state Senator **Rick Bennett** registers in single digits and has not shifted the race into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as national political shocks, candidate scandals, or unusually high independent turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence shows no such movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$33,006End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Hannah Pingree**, the Democratic nominee and former Maine House speaker, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open-seat gubernatorial race due to consistent polling margins of 10–15 points over Republican nominee **Bobby Charles**, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state. Maine’s recent statewide voting patterns, the endorsement from term-limited Democratic Governor **Janet Mills**, and Pingree’s established name recognition from her legislative record have anchored trader confidence near 95%. An independent candidacy by state Senator **Rick Bennett** registers in single digits and has not shifted the race into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as national political shocks, candidate scandals, or unusually high independent turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence shows no such movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,006End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Hannah Pingree**, the Democratic nominee and former Maine House speaker, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 open-seat gubernatorial race due to consistent polling margins of 10–15 points over Republican nominee **Bobby Charles**, a former U.S. assistant secretary of state. Maine’s recent statewide voting patterns, the endorsement from term-limited Democratic Governor **Janet Mills**, and Pingree’s established name recognition from her legislative record have anchored trader confidence near 95%. An independent candidacy by state Senator **Rick Bennett** registers in single digits and has not shifted the race into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as national political shocks, candidate scandals, or unusually high independent turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence shows no such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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