**The open seat created by Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor has produced a competitive November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democratic nominee Christina Hines, a former prosecutor endorsed by EMILY’s List, and Republican nominee Michael Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed candidate.** Hines won her August 4 primary with 45.7% against Eric Chung and Tim Greimel, while Bouchard took the GOP nomination with 72.6% after Trump’s endorsement prompted other contenders to exit or consolidate. The district, anchored in Macomb County and parts of Oakland County, remains closely divided after James’s narrow 2024 victory and Trump’s seven-point 2024 presidential margin there. Race ratings reflect the uncertainty—Cook rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections Tilt Republican, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball a Toss-up—yet trader pricing assigns Democrats the lead, consistent with historical midterm dynamics in swing districts and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Limited post-primary polling shows a tight race, leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or national conditions before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,743 Vol.
64%
Republican Party
$2,510 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open seat created by Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor has produced a competitive November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democratic nominee Christina Hines, a former prosecutor endorsed by EMILY’s List, and Republican nominee Michael Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed candidate.**
Hines won her August 4 primary with 45.7% against Eric Chung and Tim Greimel, while Bouchard took the GOP nomination with 72.6% after Trump’s endorsement prompted other contenders to exit or consolidate. The district, anchored in Macomb County and parts of Oakland County, remains closely divided after James’s narrow 2024 victory and Trump’s seven-point 2024 presidential margin there. Race ratings reflect the uncertainty—Cook rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections Tilt Republican, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball a Toss-up—yet trader pricing assigns Democrats the lead, consistent with historical midterm dynamics in swing districts and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Limited post-primary polling shows a tight race, leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$6,253End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open seat created by Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor has produced a competitive November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democratic nominee Christina Hines, a former prosecutor endorsed by EMILY’s List, and Republican nominee Michael Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed candidate.**
Hines won her August 4 primary with 45.7% against Eric Chung and Tim Greimel, while Bouchard took the GOP nomination with 72.6% after Trump’s endorsement prompted other contenders to exit or consolidate. The district, anchored in Macomb County and parts of Oakland County, remains closely divided after James’s narrow 2024 victory and Trump’s seven-point 2024 presidential margin there. Race ratings reflect the uncertainty—Cook rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections Tilt Republican, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball a Toss-up—yet trader pricing assigns Democrats the lead, consistent with historical midterm dynamics in swing districts and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Limited post-primary polling shows a tight race, leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,253End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open seat created by Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor has produced a competitive November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democratic nominee Christina Hines, a former prosecutor endorsed by EMILY’s List, and Republican nominee Michael Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed candidate.** Hines won her August 4 primary with 45.7% against Eric Chung and Tim Greimel, while Bouchard took the GOP nomination with 72.6% after Trump’s endorsement prompted other contenders to exit or consolidate. The district, anchored in Macomb County and parts of Oakland County, remains closely divided after James’s narrow 2024 victory and Trump’s seven-point 2024 presidential margin there. Race ratings reflect the uncertainty—Cook rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections Tilt Republican, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball a Toss-up—yet trader pricing assigns Democrats the lead, consistent with historical midterm dynamics in swing districts and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Limited post-primary polling shows a tight race, leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout, or national conditions before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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