Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index rooted in recent presidential results, creating a structural barrier for Republicans in this Oakland County seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, backed by institutional support and prior state senate leadership experience. Ethan Baker emerged unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A Republican victory would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the underlying electorate composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$78,105 Vol.
$78,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$78,105 Vol.
$78,105 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$56,052 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$22,052 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index rooted in recent presidential results, creating a structural barrier for Republicans in this Oakland County seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, backed by institutional support and prior state senate leadership experience. Ethan Baker emerged unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A Republican victory would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the underlying electorate composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$78,105End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index rooted in recent presidential results, creating a structural barrier for Republicans in this Oakland County seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, backed by institutional support and prior state senate leadership experience. Ethan Baker emerged unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A Republican victory would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the underlying electorate composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$78,105End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index rooted in recent presidential results, creating a structural barrier for Republicans in this Oakland County seat. Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, backed by institutional support and prior state senate leadership experience. Ethan Baker emerged unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the general election as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A Republican victory would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political realignment capable of overcoming the underlying electorate composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions