Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning House seat. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's prior margins above 78%. Trader pricing at 97.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages in a low-turnout environment for the opposing party. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for districts of this partisan composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,383 Vol.
$38,383 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$38,383 Vol.
$38,383 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$22,754 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning House seat. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's prior margins above 78%. Trader pricing at 97.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages in a low-turnout environment for the opposing party. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for districts of this partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,383End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning House seat. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's prior margins above 78%. Trader pricing at 97.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages in a low-turnout environment for the opposing party. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for districts of this partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,383End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning House seat. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and faces Republican Mike Kirchner in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the incumbent's prior margins above 78%. Trader pricing at 97.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages in a low-turnout environment for the opposing party. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for districts of this partisan composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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