Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a D+2 to D+4 partisan lean anchored in Akron and Summit County. Sykes secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary after defeating the prior Republican nominee by double digits in 2024, while Republican Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections place the seat in the Likely or Solid Democratic column, supported by Sykes’ fundraising edge and the district’s labor and suburban electorate. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 93 percent because these structural factors have produced consistent leads absent major national swings or unforeseen candidate developments before November 3. A significant shift would require sustained erosion of the incumbent’s support or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-13 House Election Winner
OH-13 House Election Winner
$15,965 Vol.
$15,965 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,965 Vol.
$15,965 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,914 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$9,051 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a D+2 to D+4 partisan lean anchored in Akron and Summit County. Sykes secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary after defeating the prior Republican nominee by double digits in 2024, while Republican Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections place the seat in the Likely or Solid Democratic column, supported by Sykes’ fundraising edge and the district’s labor and suburban electorate. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 93 percent because these structural factors have produced consistent leads absent major national swings or unforeseen candidate developments before November 3. A significant shift would require sustained erosion of the incumbent’s support or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,965End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a D+2 to D+4 partisan lean anchored in Akron and Summit County. Sykes secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary after defeating the prior Republican nominee by double digits in 2024, while Republican Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections place the seat in the Likely or Solid Democratic column, supported by Sykes’ fundraising edge and the district’s labor and suburban electorate. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 93 percent because these structural factors have produced consistent leads absent major national swings or unforeseen candidate developments before November 3. A significant shift would require sustained erosion of the incumbent’s support or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,965End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a D+2 to D+4 partisan lean anchored in Akron and Summit County. Sykes secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary after defeating the prior Republican nominee by double digits in 2024, while Republican Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections place the seat in the Likely or Solid Democratic column, supported by Sykes’ fundraising edge and the district’s labor and suburban electorate. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 93 percent because these structural factors have produced consistent leads absent major national swings or unforeseen candidate developments before November 3. A significant shift would require sustained erosion of the incumbent’s support or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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