Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 6th congressional district, a seat with a D+6 Partisan Voter Index that has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Houlahan’s established incumbency advantages, consistent fundraising edge over Republican challenger Marty Young, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the May 2026 primaries. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors, pricing the Democratic outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, candidate-specific scandal, or health event, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the district’s fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-06 House Election Winner
PA-06 House Election Winner
$25,477 Vol.
$25,477 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$25,477 Vol.
$25,477 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,182 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$13,295 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 6th congressional district, a seat with a D+6 Partisan Voter Index that has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Houlahan’s established incumbency advantages, consistent fundraising edge over Republican challenger Marty Young, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the May 2026 primaries. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors, pricing the Democratic outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, candidate-specific scandal, or health event, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the district’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,477End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 6th congressional district, a seat with a D+6 Partisan Voter Index that has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Houlahan’s established incumbency advantages, consistent fundraising edge over Republican challenger Marty Young, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the May 2026 primaries. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors, pricing the Democratic outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, candidate-specific scandal, or health event, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the district’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,477End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chrissy Houlahan seeks reelection in Pennsylvania’s 6th congressional district, a seat with a D+6 Partisan Voter Index that has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Houlahan’s established incumbency advantages, consistent fundraising edge over Republican challenger Marty Young, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the May 2026 primaries. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors, pricing the Democratic outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, candidate-specific scandal, or health event, though none have materialized in recent months to alter the district’s fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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