Iran’s government has repeatedly deployed nationwide internet restrictions to limit communication during periods of unrest and conflict, including a record 88-day near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 triggered by economic protests and sustained through U.S.-Israeli strikes beginning February 28. Partial connectivity resumed in late May under presidential directive despite security agency resistance, yet traffic levels remain well below pre-shutdown baselines with persistent platform blocks, slow speeds, and tiered access favoring select users. As of August 2026, monitoring data show continued fragmentation rather than full restoration, while economic damage from prior shutdowns and risks of renewed protests or escalation remain key variables that could prompt authorities to reimpose stricter controls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$241,700 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
2%
September 30
10%
December 31
36%
$241,700 Vol.
August 31
$173,490 Vol.
2%
September 30
$4,083 Vol.
10%
December 31
$10,892 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly deployed nationwide internet restrictions to limit communication during periods of unrest and conflict, including a record 88-day near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 triggered by economic protests and sustained through U.S.-Israeli strikes beginning February 28. Partial connectivity resumed in late May under presidential directive despite security agency resistance, yet traffic levels remain well below pre-shutdown baselines with persistent platform blocks, slow speeds, and tiered access favoring select users. As of August 2026, monitoring data show continued fragmentation rather than full restoration, while economic damage from prior shutdowns and risks of renewed protests or escalation remain key variables that could prompt authorities to reimpose stricter controls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$241,700End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly deployed nationwide internet restrictions to limit communication during periods of unrest and conflict, including a record 88-day near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 triggered by economic protests and sustained through U.S.-Israeli strikes beginning February 28. Partial connectivity resumed in late May under presidential directive despite security agency resistance, yet traffic levels remain well below pre-shutdown baselines with persistent platform blocks, slow speeds, and tiered access favoring select users. As of August 2026, monitoring data show continued fragmentation rather than full restoration, while economic damage from prior shutdowns and risks of renewed protests or escalation remain key variables that could prompt authorities to reimpose stricter controls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241,700End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s government has repeatedly deployed nationwide internet restrictions to limit communication during periods of unrest and conflict, including a record 88-day near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 triggered by economic protests and sustained through U.S.-Israeli strikes beginning February 28. Partial connectivity resumed in late May under presidential directive despite security agency resistance, yet traffic levels remain well below pre-shutdown baselines with persistent platform blocks, slow speeds, and tiered access favoring select users. As of August 2026, monitoring data show continued fragmentation rather than full restoration, while economic damage from prior shutdowns and risks of renewed protests or escalation remain key variables that could prompt authorities to reimpose stricter controls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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