Hengam Island, a small Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz hosting naval and drone infrastructure, remains under Tehran’s administrative and military control amid ongoing regional tensions. US and Israeli strikes in mid-2026 targeted air defenses, radars, and related sites on Hengam and nearby Qeshm, causing localized explosions and later oil pollution that Iranian officials linked to foreign military action, though cleanup efforts continue without reported territorial shifts. Iran has conducted IRGC coastal defense drills in the south, while pursuing diplomatic talks with Oman on interim navigation frameworks for the strait and rejecting external interference. No verified occupation, seizure, or handover has occurred, and Iranian statements continue to affirm full sovereignty. Scheduled events include further Hormuz route negotiations within 30-60 days, which could influence escalation risks but have not altered control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$152,496 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 30
11%
$152,496 Vol.
August 31
$124,948 Vol.
<1%
September 30
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Hengam Island, a small Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz hosting naval and drone infrastructure, remains under Tehran’s administrative and military control amid ongoing regional tensions. US and Israeli strikes in mid-2026 targeted air defenses, radars, and related sites on Hengam and nearby Qeshm, causing localized explosions and later oil pollution that Iranian officials linked to foreign military action, though cleanup efforts continue without reported territorial shifts. Iran has conducted IRGC coastal defense drills in the south, while pursuing diplomatic talks with Oman on interim navigation frameworks for the strait and rejecting external interference. No verified occupation, seizure, or handover has occurred, and Iranian statements continue to affirm full sovereignty. Scheduled events include further Hormuz route negotiations within 30-60 days, which could influence escalation risks but have not altered control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$152,496End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Hengam Island, a small Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz hosting naval and drone infrastructure, remains under Tehran’s administrative and military control amid ongoing regional tensions. US and Israeli strikes in mid-2026 targeted air defenses, radars, and related sites on Hengam and nearby Qeshm, causing localized explosions and later oil pollution that Iranian officials linked to foreign military action, though cleanup efforts continue without reported territorial shifts. Iran has conducted IRGC coastal defense drills in the south, while pursuing diplomatic talks with Oman on interim navigation frameworks for the strait and rejecting external interference. No verified occupation, seizure, or handover has occurred, and Iranian statements continue to affirm full sovereignty. Scheduled events include further Hormuz route negotiations within 30-60 days, which could influence escalation risks but have not altered control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$152,496End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hengam Island, a small Iranian territory in the Strait of Hormuz hosting naval and drone infrastructure, remains under Tehran’s administrative and military control amid ongoing regional tensions. US and Israeli strikes in mid-2026 targeted air defenses, radars, and related sites on Hengam and nearby Qeshm, causing localized explosions and later oil pollution that Iranian officials linked to foreign military action, though cleanup efforts continue without reported territorial shifts. Iran has conducted IRGC coastal defense drills in the south, while pursuing diplomatic talks with Oman on interim navigation frameworks for the strait and rejecting external interference. No verified occupation, seizure, or handover has occurred, and Iranian statements continue to affirm full sovereignty. Scheduled events include further Hormuz route negotiations within 30-60 days, which could influence escalation risks but have not altered control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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