Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent as of early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 41 percent amid ongoing economic discontent and mixed views on foreign policy. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38.0–38.9 range because recent data from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and CNN show only modest day-to-day movement within that band, driven by steady disapproval on cost-of-living and tariff issues alongside stable Republican support. The spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over which specific poll or rolling average will be used for resolution on September 11, with limited new catalysts expected in the immediate term to produce sharper shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.5–38.9 45%
38.0–38.4 39%
37.5–37.9 32%
<37.5 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
27%
37.5–37.9
32%
38.0–38.4
39%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0–39.4
18%
39.5+
7%
38.5–38.9 45%
38.0–38.4 39%
37.5–37.9 32%
<37.5 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$30 Vol.
27%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
32%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
39%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
45%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
18%
39.5+
$2 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent as of early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 41 percent amid ongoing economic discontent and mixed views on foreign policy. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38.0–38.9 range because recent data from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and CNN show only modest day-to-day movement within that band, driven by steady disapproval on cost-of-living and tariff issues alongside stable Republican support. The spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over which specific poll or rolling average will be used for resolution on September 11, with limited new catalysts expected in the immediate term to produce sharper shifts.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$32End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent as of early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 41 percent amid ongoing economic discontent and mixed views on foreign policy. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38.0–38.9 range because recent data from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and CNN show only modest day-to-day movement within that band, driven by steady disapproval on cost-of-living and tariff issues alongside stable Republican support. The spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over which specific poll or rolling average will be used for resolution on September 11, with limited new catalysts expected in the immediate term to produce sharper shifts.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$32End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent as of early September 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 41 percent amid ongoing economic discontent and mixed views on foreign policy. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38.0–38.9 range because recent data from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and CNN show only modest day-to-day movement within that band, driven by steady disapproval on cost-of-living and tariff issues alongside stable Republican support. The spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over which specific poll or rolling average will be used for resolution on September 11, with limited new catalysts expected in the immediate term to produce sharper shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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