President Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticism through Truth Social posts, rallies, and press interactions continues to shape trader expectations for this market through September 30. Ongoing friction with Iran, including recent strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and statements labeling the regime a “failed nation,” has prompted repeated attacks on media outlets and Democratic figures who question administration policy. High-probability outcomes such as Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Kathy Hochul, Letitia James, and Ilhan Omar reflect Trump’s history of targeting prominent opponents and critics, as seen in July remarks at the Correspondents’ Dinner and August-September exchanges with reporters and networks. Scheduled events including the September 9–10 Republican National Convention and the September 22 UN General Assembly address could supply additional platforms. Traders weigh these recurring dynamics against the short remaining window and the possibility of last-minute diplomatic or domestic developments shifting his focus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$35,737 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Barack Obama
95%
Kathy Hochul
94%
Letitia James
84%
Hillary Clinton
81%
Tucker Carlson
71%
Mark Carney
62%
Kaitlan Collins
56%
Jimmy Kimmel
50%
Elizabeth Warren
48%
Norah O'Donnell
39%
Zohran Mamdani
34%
Friedrich Merz
30%
Andy Burnham
28%
Elon Musk
27%
Jerome Powell
24%
Pam Bondi
22%
Vladimir Putin
18%
Candace Owens
17%
Alex Jones
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
13%
Megyn Kelly
9%
Stephen Colbert
28%
Emmanuel Macron
7%
Mohammed bin Salman
7%
Kevin Warsh
7%
Melania Trump
11%
Pope Leo XIV
5%
Xi Jinping
5%
J.D. Vance
4%
Karoline Leavitt
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
35%
J.B. Pritzker
50%
Jon Ossoff
48%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
48%
Adam Schiff
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
57%
Ilhan Omar
55%
$35,737 Vol.
Barack Obama
$2,139 Vol.
95%
Kathy Hochul
$1,369 Vol.
94%
Letitia James
$267 Vol.
84%
Hillary Clinton
$1,310 Vol.
81%
Tucker Carlson
$2,009 Vol.
71%
Mark Carney
$1,464 Vol.
62%
Kaitlan Collins
$624 Vol.
56%
Jimmy Kimmel
$766 Vol.
50%
Elizabeth Warren
$457 Vol.
48%
Norah O'Donnell
$52 Vol.
39%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,228 Vol.
34%
Friedrich Merz
$766 Vol.
30%
Andy Burnham
$1,043 Vol.
28%
Elon Musk
$62 Vol.
27%
Jerome Powell
$492 Vol.
24%
Pam Bondi
$74 Vol.
22%
Vladimir Putin
$910 Vol.
18%
Candace Owens
$1,597 Vol.
17%
Alex Jones
$60 Vol.
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,189 Vol.
13%
Megyn Kelly
$312 Vol.
9%
Stephen Colbert
$321 Vol.
28%
Emmanuel Macron
$2,023 Vol.
7%
Mohammed bin Salman
$360 Vol.
7%
Kevin Warsh
$2,629 Vol.
7%
Melania Trump
$95 Vol.
11%
Pope Leo XIV
$956 Vol.
5%
Xi Jinping
$329 Vol.
5%
J.D. Vance
$1,162 Vol.
4%
Karoline Leavitt
$272 Vol.
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$1,344 Vol.
35%
J.B. Pritzker
$264 Vol.
50%
Jon Ossoff
$103 Vol.
48%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$140 Vol.
48%
Adam Schiff
$60 Vol.
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
$1,016 Vol.
57%
Ilhan Omar
$162 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticism through Truth Social posts, rallies, and press interactions continues to shape trader expectations for this market through September 30. Ongoing friction with Iran, including recent strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and statements labeling the regime a “failed nation,” has prompted repeated attacks on media outlets and Democratic figures who question administration policy. High-probability outcomes such as Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Kathy Hochul, Letitia James, and Ilhan Omar reflect Trump’s history of targeting prominent opponents and critics, as seen in July remarks at the Correspondents’ Dinner and August-September exchanges with reporters and networks. Scheduled events including the September 9–10 Republican National Convention and the September 22 UN General Assembly address could supply additional platforms. Traders weigh these recurring dynamics against the short remaining window and the possibility of last-minute diplomatic or domestic developments shifting his focus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Volume
$35,737End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticism through Truth Social posts, rallies, and press interactions continues to shape trader expectations for this market through September 30. Ongoing friction with Iran, including recent strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and statements labeling the regime a “failed nation,” has prompted repeated attacks on media outlets and Democratic figures who question administration policy. High-probability outcomes such as Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Kathy Hochul, Letitia James, and Ilhan Omar reflect Trump’s history of targeting prominent opponents and critics, as seen in July remarks at the Correspondents’ Dinner and August-September exchanges with reporters and networks. Scheduled events including the September 9–10 Republican National Convention and the September 22 UN General Assembly address could supply additional platforms. Traders weigh these recurring dynamics against the short remaining window and the possibility of last-minute diplomatic or domestic developments shifting his focus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,737End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticism through Truth Social posts, rallies, and press interactions continues to shape trader expectations for this market through September 30. Ongoing friction with Iran, including recent strikes near the Strait of Hormuz and statements labeling the regime a “failed nation,” has prompted repeated attacks on media outlets and Democratic figures who question administration policy. High-probability outcomes such as Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Kathy Hochul, Letitia James, and Ilhan Omar reflect Trump’s history of targeting prominent opponents and critics, as seen in July remarks at the Correspondents’ Dinner and August-September exchanges with reporters and networks. Scheduled events including the September 9–10 Republican National Convention and the September 22 UN General Assembly address could supply additional platforms. Traders weigh these recurring dynamics against the short remaining window and the possibility of last-minute diplomatic or domestic developments shifting his focus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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