Trump's established pattern of issuing frequent public remarks via Truth Social, press interactions, and appearances sustains elevated probabilities for several options in this market, particularly journalists like Kaitlan Collins and entertainers such as Jimmy Kimmel who have drawn prior criticism. As of late August 2026, ongoing developments including the six-month mark of U.S.-Israel operations against Iran, escalating trade tensions with Canada marked by the Lake Ontario renaming order, and administration pushes on mail voting rules and Venezuela oil reserves provide recurring platforms for targeted statements against media figures, foreign leaders like Nicolás Maduro, or political opponents. Scheduled events such as the Houston ceremony honoring the Artemis II crew and midterm-related endorsements add near-term opportunities for qualifying remarks before the August 31 cutoff, while trader pricing reflects historical volume of such language amid these catalysts rather than any single confirmed event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$62,708 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Jimmy Kimmel
22%
Kaitlan Collins
27%
Zohran Mamdani
16%
Candace Owens
20%
Alex Jones
10%
Megyn Kelly
8%
Emmanuel Macron
6%
Norah O'Donnell
5%
Andy Burnham
4%
Viktor Orbán
4%
Friedrich Merz
3%
Jerome Powell
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Vladimir Putin
2%
Xi Jinping
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Kevin Warsh
1%
Mohammed bin Salman
1%
Pope Leo XIV
1%
Pam Bondi
9%
Melania Trump
1%
$62,708 Vol.
Jimmy Kimmel
$255 Vol.
22%
Kaitlan Collins
$919 Vol.
27%
Zohran Mamdani
$193 Vol.
16%
Candace Owens
$10,789 Vol.
20%
Alex Jones
$5,281 Vol.
10%
Megyn Kelly
$2,041 Vol.
8%
Emmanuel Macron
$1,725 Vol.
6%
Norah O'Donnell
$1,904 Vol.
5%
Andy Burnham
$1,986 Vol.
4%
Viktor Orbán
$26 Vol.
4%
Friedrich Merz
$1,952 Vol.
3%
Jerome Powell
$649 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$870 Vol.
2%
Elon Musk
$1,857 Vol.
2%
Vladimir Putin
$1,889 Vol.
2%
Xi Jinping
$1,429 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$689 Vol.
1%
Kevin Warsh
$890 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Salman
$81 Vol.
1%
Pope Leo XIV
$2,897 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$293 Vol.
9%
Melania Trump
$3,087 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of issuing frequent public remarks via Truth Social, press interactions, and appearances sustains elevated probabilities for several options in this market, particularly journalists like Kaitlan Collins and entertainers such as Jimmy Kimmel who have drawn prior criticism. As of late August 2026, ongoing developments including the six-month mark of U.S.-Israel operations against Iran, escalating trade tensions with Canada marked by the Lake Ontario renaming order, and administration pushes on mail voting rules and Venezuela oil reserves provide recurring platforms for targeted statements against media figures, foreign leaders like Nicolás Maduro, or political opponents. Scheduled events such as the Houston ceremony honoring the Artemis II crew and midterm-related endorsements add near-term opportunities for qualifying remarks before the August 31 cutoff, while trader pricing reflects historical volume of such language amid these catalysts rather than any single confirmed event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volume
$62,708End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's established pattern of issuing frequent public remarks via Truth Social, press interactions, and appearances sustains elevated probabilities for several options in this market, particularly journalists like Kaitlan Collins and entertainers such as Jimmy Kimmel who have drawn prior criticism. As of late August 2026, ongoing developments including the six-month mark of U.S.-Israel operations against Iran, escalating trade tensions with Canada marked by the Lake Ontario renaming order, and administration pushes on mail voting rules and Venezuela oil reserves provide recurring platforms for targeted statements against media figures, foreign leaders like Nicolás Maduro, or political opponents. Scheduled events such as the Houston ceremony honoring the Artemis II crew and midterm-related endorsements add near-term opportunities for qualifying remarks before the August 31 cutoff, while trader pricing reflects historical volume of such language amid these catalysts rather than any single confirmed event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,708End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's established pattern of issuing frequent public remarks via Truth Social, press interactions, and appearances sustains elevated probabilities for several options in this market, particularly journalists like Kaitlan Collins and entertainers such as Jimmy Kimmel who have drawn prior criticism. As of late August 2026, ongoing developments including the six-month mark of U.S.-Israel operations against Iran, escalating trade tensions with Canada marked by the Lake Ontario renaming order, and administration pushes on mail voting rules and Venezuela oil reserves provide recurring platforms for targeted statements against media figures, foreign leaders like Nicolás Maduro, or political opponents. Scheduled events such as the Houston ceremony honoring the Artemis II crew and midterm-related endorsements add near-term opportunities for qualifying remarks before the August 31 cutoff, while trader pricing reflects historical volume of such language amid these catalysts rather than any single confirmed event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions