Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures such as 37 percent in Economist/YouGov, 38 percent in New York Times aggregates, 39.5 percent in RealClearPolitics, and 40 percent in Ballotpedia’s index. These readings reflect ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including elevated inflation and energy costs tied to the Iran conflict, alongside mixed results on trade policy and foreign policy handling. Midterm election dynamics and Republican efforts to boost turnout have not produced measurable short-term shifts in national sentiment. With only days until the September 18 measurement date, the market’s concentration around 37.5–38.9 aligns closely with this polling range and the absence of major intervening events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0+ 6.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
7%
38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0+ 6.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$63 Vol.
5%
37.0–37.4
$94 Vol.
7%
37.5–37.9
$24 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$144 Vol.
37%
38.5–38.9
$136 Vol.
26%
39.0+
$129 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures such as 37 percent in Economist/YouGov, 38 percent in New York Times aggregates, 39.5 percent in RealClearPolitics, and 40 percent in Ballotpedia’s index. These readings reflect ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including elevated inflation and energy costs tied to the Iran conflict, alongside mixed results on trade policy and foreign policy handling. Midterm election dynamics and Republican efforts to boost turnout have not produced measurable short-term shifts in national sentiment. With only days until the September 18 measurement date, the market’s concentration around 37.5–38.9 aligns closely with this polling range and the absence of major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures such as 37 percent in Economist/YouGov, 38 percent in New York Times aggregates, 39.5 percent in RealClearPolitics, and 40 percent in Ballotpedia’s index. These readings reflect ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including elevated inflation and energy costs tied to the Iran conflict, alongside mixed results on trade policy and foreign policy handling. Midterm election dynamics and Republican efforts to boost turnout have not produced measurable short-term shifts in national sentiment. With only days until the September 18 measurement date, the market’s concentration around 37.5–38.9 aligns closely with this polling range and the absence of major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures such as 37 percent in Economist/YouGov, 38 percent in New York Times aggregates, 39.5 percent in RealClearPolitics, and 40 percent in Ballotpedia’s index. These readings reflect ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including elevated inflation and energy costs tied to the Iran conflict, alongside mixed results on trade policy and foreign policy handling. Midterm election dynamics and Republican efforts to boost turnout have not produced measurable short-term shifts in national sentiment. With only days until the September 18 measurement date, the market’s concentration around 37.5–38.9 aligns closely with this polling range and the absence of major intervening events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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