Trump’s 2026 average of roughly 19 Truth Social posts per day produces a baseline near 152 for an eight-day window, yet frequent spikes—such as the 37-post session during the recent Labor Day weekend—have repeatedly elevated weekly totals into the 180-199 range or higher. Market pricing places the 200+ bracket in the lead because traders weigh the president’s documented bursts during politically charged periods, including foreign policy developments and domestic flashpoints, against that steady baseline. The just-concluded Ireland trip and ongoing midterm-season dynamics add near-term volatility that could sustain elevated volume, while quieter stretches without major events have historically kept counts closer to 160-179. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts from September 15 through 22.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 48%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
6%
100-119
7%
120-139
9%
140-159
12%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
48%
200+ 48%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
<20
$161 Vol.
1%
20-39
$12 Vol.
1%
40-59
$12 Vol.
1%
60-79
$0 Vol.
1%
80-99
$20 Vol.
6%
100-119
$20 Vol.
7%
120-139
$40 Vol.
9%
140-159
$77 Vol.
12%
160-179
$58 Vol.
18%
180-199
$54 Vol.
16%
200+
$23 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 average of roughly 19 Truth Social posts per day produces a baseline near 152 for an eight-day window, yet frequent spikes—such as the 37-post session during the recent Labor Day weekend—have repeatedly elevated weekly totals into the 180-199 range or higher. Market pricing places the 200+ bracket in the lead because traders weigh the president’s documented bursts during politically charged periods, including foreign policy developments and domestic flashpoints, against that steady baseline. The just-concluded Ireland trip and ongoing midterm-season dynamics add near-term volatility that could sustain elevated volume, while quieter stretches without major events have historically kept counts closer to 160-179. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts from September 15 through 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$477End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 average of roughly 19 Truth Social posts per day produces a baseline near 152 for an eight-day window, yet frequent spikes—such as the 37-post session during the recent Labor Day weekend—have repeatedly elevated weekly totals into the 180-199 range or higher. Market pricing places the 200+ bracket in the lead because traders weigh the president’s documented bursts during politically charged periods, including foreign policy developments and domestic flashpoints, against that steady baseline. The just-concluded Ireland trip and ongoing midterm-season dynamics add near-term volatility that could sustain elevated volume, while quieter stretches without major events have historically kept counts closer to 160-179. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts from September 15 through 22.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$477End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s 2026 average of roughly 19 Truth Social posts per day produces a baseline near 152 for an eight-day window, yet frequent spikes—such as the 37-post session during the recent Labor Day weekend—have repeatedly elevated weekly totals into the 180-199 range or higher. Market pricing places the 200+ bracket in the lead because traders weigh the president’s documented bursts during politically charged periods, including foreign policy developments and domestic flashpoints, against that steady baseline. The just-concluded Ireland trip and ongoing midterm-season dynamics add near-term volatility that could sustain elevated volume, while quieter stretches without major events have historically kept counts closer to 160-179. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts from September 15 through 22.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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