Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 180–199 and 200+ White House social media posts for the week of September 15–22, reflecting expectations of steady output consistent with recent patterns of daily briefings, policy announcements, and official updates. The narrow gap between these leading outcomes arises from variability in posting volume driven by the intensity of the news cycle, scheduled White House events, and responses to legislative or diplomatic developments. A heavier week of executive actions or high-profile statements could separate the market toward the higher bin, while fewer major releases or a subdued period might favor the lower range. Historical averages for similar mid-September weeks provide the baseline against which current trader consensus is measured.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhite House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
200+ 48%
180-199 27%
160-179 16%
80-99 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
15%
100-119
15%
120-139
15%
140-159
6%
160-179
16%
180-199
36%
200+
48%
200+ 48%
180-199 27%
160-179 16%
80-99 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
15%
100-119
15%
120-139
15%
140-159
6%
160-179
16%
180-199
36%
200+
48%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 180–199 and 200+ White House social media posts for the week of September 15–22, reflecting expectations of steady output consistent with recent patterns of daily briefings, policy announcements, and official updates. The narrow gap between these leading outcomes arises from variability in posting volume driven by the intensity of the news cycle, scheduled White House events, and responses to legislative or diplomatic developments. A heavier week of executive actions or high-profile statements could separate the market toward the higher bin, while fewer major releases or a subdued period might favor the lower range. Historical averages for similar mid-September weeks provide the baseline against which current trader consensus is measured.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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