Washington's 7th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered in Seattle, with a partisan voter index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the top-two primary in August 2026 with over 83 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received roughly 11 percent amid minimal opposition and low fundraising on the Republican side. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in local registration or turnout patterns. A late national Republican wave or unexpected scandal could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited scope for such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
$34,408 Vol.
$34,408 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$34,408 Vol.
$34,408 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,607 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$22,800 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered in Seattle, with a partisan voter index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the top-two primary in August 2026 with over 83 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received roughly 11 percent amid minimal opposition and low fundraising on the Republican side. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in local registration or turnout patterns. A late national Republican wave or unexpected scandal could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited scope for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,408End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered in Seattle, with a partisan voter index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the top-two primary in August 2026 with over 83 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received roughly 11 percent amid minimal opposition and low fundraising on the Republican side. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in local registration or turnout patterns. A late national Republican wave or unexpected scandal could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited scope for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,408End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 7th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered in Seattle, with a partisan voter index exceeding D+35 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the top-two primary in August 2026 with over 83 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received roughly 11 percent amid minimal opposition and low fundraising on the Republican side. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or recent shifts in local registration or turnout patterns. A late national Republican wave or unexpected scandal could theoretically narrow the outcome, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited scope for such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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