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icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$13,152 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$13,152 Vol.

Polymarket
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ICE

$670 Vol.

18%

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CBOE

$3,211 Vol.

10%

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ForecastEx

$825 Vol.

10%

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Small Exchange

$3,521 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Heightened CFTC scrutiny now shapes trader views on which designated contract markets will self-certify sports event contracts by December 31. A July 2026 Division of Market Oversight advisory explicitly discouraged broad template-style filings for event contract series, requiring detailed explanations of settlement sources, manipulation risks under Core Principle 3, and compliance with Regulation 40.2. June 2026 proposed rulemaking added expectations for pre-filing league engagement and information-sharing agreements, raising compliance costs and stay risks for platforms. CME Group established early precedent with prior certifications, while Polymarket US (QCX LLC) recently withdrew NFL participation filings amid concerns over injury-adjacent contracts. Railbird, LedgerX, and Aristotle remain positioned for streamlined submissions, though trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional DCMs will complete filings before year-end amid evolving guidance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,152
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Heightened CFTC scrutiny now shapes trader views on which designated contract markets will self-certify sports event contracts by December 31. A July 2026 Division of Market Oversight advisory explicitly discouraged broad template-style filings for event contract series, requiring detailed explanations of settlement sources, manipulation risks under Core Principle 3, and compliance with Regulation 40.2. June 2026 proposed rulemaking added expectations for pre-filing league engagement and information-sharing agreements, raising compliance costs and stay risks for platforms. CME Group established early precedent with prior certifications, while Polymarket US (QCX LLC) recently withdrew NFL participation filings amid concerns over injury-adjacent contracts. Railbird, LedgerX, and Aristotle remain positioned for streamlined submissions, though trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether additional DCMs will complete filings before year-end amid evolving guidance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,152
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aristotle" at 100%, followed by "ICE" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is "Aristotle" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ICE" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.