Incumbent Republican Tony Wied faces Democrat Rick Crosson in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both parties completed their August 11 primaries. The district’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its northeastern Wisconsin base, including Green Bay and Appleton, where Republicans have held the seat in recent cycles. Wied, who won the open seat in 2024, encountered no primary opposition while advancing farm and small-business priorities. Crosson’s narrow primary victory over two other Democrats leaves the general-election matchup in a district environment that favors the GOP incumbent. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent primary factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-08 House Election Winner
$17,985 Vol.
$17,985 Vol.
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
$17,985 Vol.
$17,985 Vol.
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied faces Democrat Rick Crosson in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both parties completed their August 11 primaries. The district’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its northeastern Wisconsin base, including Green Bay and Appleton, where Republicans have held the seat in recent cycles. Wied, who won the open seat in 2024, encountered no primary opposition while advancing farm and small-business priorities. Crosson’s narrow primary victory over two other Democrats leaves the general-election matchup in a district environment that favors the GOP incumbent. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent primary factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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