Iran's constitution requires presidential elections every four years or a snap vote within 50 days if the office becomes vacant due to death or incapacity. The June 2024 snap election following Ebrahim Raisi's death installed Masoud Pezeshkian, setting the next scheduled contest for June 2028. As of August 2026, no leadership vacancy or constitutional trigger has emerged despite the 2026 conflict involving Israel and the United States, leadership transition after Ali Khamenei's death, and domestic protests. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, assigning low probability to an election before 2027 absent a new crisis forcing an early vote. No major scheduled events or parliamentary actions point to an accelerated process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
45%
$767,372 Vol.
December 31
$159 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires presidential elections every four years or a snap vote within 50 days if the office becomes vacant due to death or incapacity. The June 2024 snap election following Ebrahim Raisi's death installed Masoud Pezeshkian, setting the next scheduled contest for June 2028. As of August 2026, no leadership vacancy or constitutional trigger has emerged despite the 2026 conflict involving Israel and the United States, leadership transition after Ali Khamenei's death, and domestic protests. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, assigning low probability to an election before 2027 absent a new crisis forcing an early vote. No major scheduled events or parliamentary actions point to an accelerated process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$767,372End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires presidential elections every four years or a snap vote within 50 days if the office becomes vacant due to death or incapacity. The June 2024 snap election following Ebrahim Raisi's death installed Masoud Pezeshkian, setting the next scheduled contest for June 2028. As of August 2026, no leadership vacancy or constitutional trigger has emerged despite the 2026 conflict involving Israel and the United States, leadership transition after Ali Khamenei's death, and domestic protests. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, assigning low probability to an election before 2027 absent a new crisis forcing an early vote. No major scheduled events or parliamentary actions point to an accelerated process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$767,372End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitution requires presidential elections every four years or a snap vote within 50 days if the office becomes vacant due to death or incapacity. The June 2024 snap election following Ebrahim Raisi's death installed Masoud Pezeshkian, setting the next scheduled contest for June 2028. As of August 2026, no leadership vacancy or constitutional trigger has emerged despite the 2026 conflict involving Israel and the United States, leadership transition after Ali Khamenei's death, and domestic protests. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, assigning low probability to an election before 2027 absent a new crisis forcing an early vote. No major scheduled events or parliamentary actions point to an accelerated process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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