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Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 65%

Vladan Đokić 12.1%

Stefan Krkobabić 6.9%

Dragan Đilas 5.3%

Polymarket

$37,011 Vol.

Aleksandar Vučić 65%

Vladan Đokić 12.1%

Stefan Krkobabić 6.9%

Dragan Đilas 5.3%

Polymarket

$37,011 Vol.

icon for Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić

$19,099 Vol.

65%

icon for Vladan Đokić

Vladan Đokić

$559 Vol.

15%

icon for Stefan Krkobabić

Stefan Krkobabić

$1,221 Vol.

7%

icon for Dragan Đilas

Dragan Đilas

$839 Vol.

5%

icon for Miloš Vučević

Miloš Vučević

$2,895 Vol.

5%

icon for Ivica Dačić

Ivica Dačić

$750 Vol.

4%

icon for Branimir Jovanović

Branimir Jovanović

$1,271 Vol.

3%

icon for Ana Brnabić

Ana Brnabić

$9,389 Vol.

3%

icon for Đuro Macut

Đuro Macut

$988 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign the presidency and seek the premiership in snap parliamentary elections scheduled for October 18 or 25 has anchored trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability. The move follows sustained protests over the 2024 Novi Sad station collapse and positions the Serbian Progressive Party leader to shift from the constitutionally term-limited presidency to the head of government role he held from 2014 to 2017, preserving influence within the ruling coalition. Current Prime Minister Đuro Macut, installed in April 2025 after Miloš Vučević’s resignation, and other listed figures such as Vladan Đokić or Ivica Dačić register lower probabilities because analysts view the transition as a controlled continuation of Vučić’s dominance rather than an open contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$37,011
End Date
Jun 30, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign the presidency and seek the premiership in snap parliamentary elections scheduled for October 18 or 25 has anchored trader consensus around his 64.5% implied probability. The move follows sustained protests over the 2024 Novi Sad station collapse and positions the Serbian Progressive Party leader to shift from the constitutionally term-limited presidency to the head of government role he held from 2014 to 2017, preserving influence within the ruling coalition. Current Prime Minister Đuro Macut, installed in April 2025 after Miloš Vučević’s resignation, and other listed figures such as Vladan Đokić or Ivica Dačić register lower probabilities because analysts view the transition as a controlled continuation of Vučić’s dominance rather than an open contest.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$37,011
End Date
Jun 30, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aleksandar Vučić" at 65%, followed by "Vladan Đokić" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" has generated $37K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is "Aleksandar Vučić" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vladan Đokić" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.