United Russia maintains dominant positioning ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections across 39 federal subjects. The party secured first ballot placement in 21 of those regions through the official draw process and benefits from centralized candidate selection, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and institutional resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. President Putin’s recent regional engagements have reinforced the party’s identification with the executive, while opposition parties face registration barriers and limited single-mandate competition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a 60% implied probability that United Russia tops the party-list vote in every region, though localized turnout dynamics and residual opposition in select areas introduce measurable uncertainty before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated60% chance
$186,435 Vol.
$186,435 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
60% chance
$186,435 Vol.
$186,435 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains dominant positioning ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections across 39 federal subjects. The party secured first ballot placement in 21 of those regions through the official draw process and benefits from centralized candidate selection, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and institutional resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. President Putin’s recent regional engagements have reinforced the party’s identification with the executive, while opposition parties face registration barriers and limited single-mandate competition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a 60% implied probability that United Russia tops the party-list vote in every region, though localized turnout dynamics and residual opposition in select areas introduce measurable uncertainty before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volume
$186,435End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains dominant positioning ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections across 39 federal subjects. The party secured first ballot placement in 21 of those regions through the official draw process and benefits from centralized candidate selection, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and institutional resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. President Putin’s recent regional engagements have reinforced the party’s identification with the executive, while opposition parties face registration barriers and limited single-mandate competition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a 60% implied probability that United Russia tops the party-list vote in every region, though localized turnout dynamics and residual opposition in select areas introduce measurable uncertainty before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$186,435End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia maintains dominant positioning ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and regional legislative elections across 39 federal subjects. The party secured first ballot placement in 21 of those regions through the official draw process and benefits from centralized candidate selection, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and institutional resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. President Putin’s recent regional engagements have reinforced the party’s identification with the executive, while opposition parties face registration barriers and limited single-mandate competition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a 60% implied probability that United Russia tops the party-list vote in every region, though localized turnout dynamics and residual opposition in select areas introduce measurable uncertainty before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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