Recent polling from Quaest, conducted August 21-24, positions Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for first place in Amapá’s Senate contest, with 27% combined vote intention and 43% on the first preference, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Furlan benefits from high name recognition as the former first lady of Macapá, her 2022 Senate performance, and alignment with her husband Antônio Furlan’s leading gubernatorial campaign under a PSD-Podemos alliance. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts among the roughly 36% of voters still open to changing preferences or undecided, though no major late developments have altered the current ordering reflected in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRayssa Furlan 78%
Lucas Barreto 3.5%
Randolfe 3.0%
Helio Silva 2.2%
$10,779 Vol.
$10,779 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
78%
Lucas Barreto
3%
Randolfe
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Acácio Favacho
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
1%
Juíza Jô
1%
Capi
1%
Alliny Serrão
1%
Rayssa Furlan 78%
Lucas Barreto 3.5%
Randolfe 3.0%
Helio Silva 2.2%
$10,779 Vol.
$10,779 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$9,259 Vol.
78%
Lucas Barreto
$154 Vol.
3%
Randolfe
$154 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$149 Vol.
2%
Acácio Favacho
$154 Vol.
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$154 Vol.
1%
Juíza Jô
$335 Vol.
1%
Capi
$269 Vol.
1%
Alliny Serrão
$154 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, conducted August 21-24, positions Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for first place in Amapá’s Senate contest, with 27% combined vote intention and 43% on the first preference, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Furlan benefits from high name recognition as the former first lady of Macapá, her 2022 Senate performance, and alignment with her husband Antônio Furlan’s leading gubernatorial campaign under a PSD-Podemos alliance. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts among the roughly 36% of voters still open to changing preferences or undecided, though no major late developments have altered the current ordering reflected in trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$10,779End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, conducted August 21-24, positions Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for first place in Amapá’s Senate contest, with 27% combined vote intention and 43% on the first preference, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Furlan benefits from high name recognition as the former first lady of Macapá, her 2022 Senate performance, and alignment with her husband Antônio Furlan’s leading gubernatorial campaign under a PSD-Podemos alliance. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts among the roughly 36% of voters still open to changing preferences or undecided, though no major late developments have altered the current ordering reflected in trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,779End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest, conducted August 21-24, positions Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) as the clear frontrunner for first place in Amapá’s Senate contest, with 27% combined vote intention and 43% on the first preference, ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Furlan benefits from high name recognition as the former first lady of Macapá, her 2022 Senate performance, and alignment with her husband Antônio Furlan’s leading gubernatorial campaign under a PSD-Podemos alliance. The October 4 first-round vote remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts among the roughly 36% of voters still open to changing preferences or undecided, though no major late developments have altered the current ordering reflected in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions