Recent Quaest polling for Amapá’s two Senate seats shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading overall at 27 percent, while Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) sit essentially tied at 19 percent and 18 percent respectively in combined first- and second-preference votes. In the explicit second-vote breakdown, Barreto edges ahead at 25 percent to Randolfe’s 16 percent. With 11 percent undecided and 36 percent of respondents open to changing their minds before October 4, the contest for second place remains fluid. High rejection rates for several names, including Randolfe, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates keep the probabilities for Barreto and Randolfe closely matched, with lower-polling contenders such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trailing further behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Lucas Barreto 44%
Randolfe 37%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Professor Uzian Pinto 4.3%
$13,346 Vol.
$13,346 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
38%
Randolfe
37%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
4%
Capi
4%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Juíza Jô
1%
Lucas Barreto 44%
Randolfe 37%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Professor Uzian Pinto 4.3%
$13,346 Vol.
$13,346 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
$1,563 Vol.
38%
Randolfe
$8,262 Vol.
37%
Alliny Serrão
$276 Vol.
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$468 Vol.
4%
Capi
$207 Vol.
4%
Rayssa Furlan
$145 Vol.
3%
Acácio Favacho
$482 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$1,796 Vol.
2%
Juíza Jô
$145 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for Amapá’s two Senate seats shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading overall at 27 percent, while Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) sit essentially tied at 19 percent and 18 percent respectively in combined first- and second-preference votes. In the explicit second-vote breakdown, Barreto edges ahead at 25 percent to Randolfe’s 16 percent. With 11 percent undecided and 36 percent of respondents open to changing their minds before October 4, the contest for second place remains fluid. High rejection rates for several names, including Randolfe, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates keep the probabilities for Barreto and Randolfe closely matched, with lower-polling contenders such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trailing further behind.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$13,346End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for Amapá’s two Senate seats shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading overall at 27 percent, while Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) sit essentially tied at 19 percent and 18 percent respectively in combined first- and second-preference votes. In the explicit second-vote breakdown, Barreto edges ahead at 25 percent to Randolfe’s 16 percent. With 11 percent undecided and 36 percent of respondents open to changing their minds before October 4, the contest for second place remains fluid. High rejection rates for several names, including Randolfe, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates keep the probabilities for Barreto and Randolfe closely matched, with lower-polling contenders such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trailing further behind.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,346End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling for Amapá’s two Senate seats shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) leading overall at 27 percent, while Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) sit essentially tied at 19 percent and 18 percent respectively in combined first- and second-preference votes. In the explicit second-vote breakdown, Barreto edges ahead at 25 percent to Randolfe’s 16 percent. With 11 percent undecided and 36 percent of respondents open to changing their minds before October 4, the contest for second place remains fluid. High rejection rates for several names, including Randolfe, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates keep the probabilities for Barreto and Randolfe closely matched, with lower-polling contenders such as Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho trailing further behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions