Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate intentions in Rondônia at 17% overall, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) tied at 11%, with Mariana Carvalho at 10% and high undecided plus blank/null shares near 40%. This positioning aligns with trader pricing where Máximo sits near even money for first place while others trail. The two-seat format, where voters select distinct candidates, combined with fragmented right-leaning support and regional priorities such as health policy and Amazon development, sustains the tight contest. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys before the October 4 vote could shift separation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 50%
Sílvia Cristina 40%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 8.8%
Acir Gurgacz 1.1%
$29,815 Vol.
$29,815 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
50%
Sílvia Cristina
40%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
9%
Acir Gurgacz
1%
Luis Fernando
1%
Mariana Carvalho
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Neidinha
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 50%
Sílvia Cristina 40%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 8.8%
Acir Gurgacz 1.1%
$29,815 Vol.
$29,815 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$12,964 Vol.
50%
Sílvia Cristina
$13,757 Vol.
40%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$284 Vol.
9%
Acir Gurgacz
$347 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$345 Vol.
1%
Mariana Carvalho
$352 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$462 Vol.
1%
Neidinha
$589 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$389 Vol.
1%
Aires Mota
$327 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate intentions in Rondônia at 17% overall, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) tied at 11%, with Mariana Carvalho at 10% and high undecided plus blank/null shares near 40%. This positioning aligns with trader pricing where Máximo sits near even money for first place while others trail. The two-seat format, where voters select distinct candidates, combined with fragmented right-leaning support and regional priorities such as health policy and Amazon development, sustains the tight contest. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys before the October 4 vote could shift separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,815End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate intentions in Rondônia at 17% overall, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) tied at 11%, with Mariana Carvalho at 10% and high undecided plus blank/null shares near 40%. This positioning aligns with trader pricing where Máximo sits near even money for first place while others trail. The two-seat format, where voters select distinct candidates, combined with fragmented right-leaning support and regional priorities such as health policy and Amazon development, sustains the tight contest. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys before the October 4 vote could shift separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,815End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading Senate intentions in Rondônia at 17% overall, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) tied at 11%, with Mariana Carvalho at 10% and high undecided plus blank/null shares near 40%. This positioning aligns with trader pricing where Máximo sits near even money for first place while others trail. The two-seat format, where voters select distinct candidates, combined with fragmented right-leaning support and regional priorities such as health policy and Amazon development, sustains the tight contest. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys before the October 4 vote could shift separation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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