Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading 61% market price for first place due to her extensive local record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and former federal deputy, reinforced by the MDB's early August convention confirmation, PDT coalition, and recent asset declaration exceeding R$8.4 million. Traders price her ahead amid the October 4, 2026, contest for two Roraima Senate seats, where name recognition and state-level alliances weigh heavily. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) sits at 35% as an outsider federal deputy leveraging family ties, while PL colleague Nicoletti and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail at single digits alongside a long list of lower-profile registrants. Recent party conventions, candidate registrations by mid-August, and the start of campaigning have clarified the field without shifting the implied probabilities materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 61%
Helio Bolsonaro 35%
Nicoletti 5.7%
Chico Rodrigues 1.5%
$22,422 Vol.
$22,422 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
61%
Helio Bolsonaro
35%
Nicoletti
6%
Chico Rodrigues
1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Helena da Asatur
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 61%
Helio Bolsonaro 35%
Nicoletti 5.7%
Chico Rodrigues 1.5%
$22,422 Vol.
$22,422 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$8,639 Vol.
61%
Helio Bolsonaro
$4,294 Vol.
35%
Nicoletti
$3,752 Vol.
6%
Chico Rodrigues
$814 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$511 Vol.
<1%
Helena da Asatur
$550 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$558 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$707 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$576 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$509 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$580 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading 61% market price for first place due to her extensive local record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and former federal deputy, reinforced by the MDB's early August convention confirmation, PDT coalition, and recent asset declaration exceeding R$8.4 million. Traders price her ahead amid the October 4, 2026, contest for two Roraima Senate seats, where name recognition and state-level alliances weigh heavily. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) sits at 35% as an outsider federal deputy leveraging family ties, while PL colleague Nicoletti and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail at single digits alongside a long list of lower-profile registrants. Recent party conventions, candidate registrations by mid-August, and the start of campaigning have clarified the field without shifting the implied probabilities materially.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$22,422End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading 61% market price for first place due to her extensive local record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and former federal deputy, reinforced by the MDB's early August convention confirmation, PDT coalition, and recent asset declaration exceeding R$8.4 million. Traders price her ahead amid the October 4, 2026, contest for two Roraima Senate seats, where name recognition and state-level alliances weigh heavily. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) sits at 35% as an outsider federal deputy leveraging family ties, while PL colleague Nicoletti and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail at single digits alongside a long list of lower-profile registrants. Recent party conventions, candidate registrations by mid-August, and the start of campaigning have clarified the field without shifting the implied probabilities materially.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,422End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading 61% market price for first place due to her extensive local record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista and former federal deputy, reinforced by the MDB's early August convention confirmation, PDT coalition, and recent asset declaration exceeding R$8.4 million. Traders price her ahead amid the October 4, 2026, contest for two Roraima Senate seats, where name recognition and state-level alliances weigh heavily. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) sits at 35% as an outsider federal deputy leveraging family ties, while PL colleague Nicoletti and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trail at single digits alongside a long list of lower-profile registrants. Recent party conventions, candidate registrations by mid-August, and the start of campaigning have clarified the field without shifting the implied probabilities materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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