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icon for Acre Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Acre Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Acre Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Acre Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcio Bittar 44%

Mara Rocha 31.6%

Gladson Camelí 15.3%

Jorge Viana 9.0%

Polymarket

$20,791 Vol.

Marcio Bittar 44%

Mara Rocha 31.6%

Gladson Camelí 15.3%

Jorge Viana 9.0%

Polymarket

$20,791 Vol.

icon for Marcio Bittar

Marcio Bittar

$8,338 Vol.

44%

icon for Mara Rocha

Mara Rocha

$2,146 Vol.

32%

icon for Gladson Camelí

Gladson Camelí

$7,019 Vol.

15%

icon for Jorge Viana

Jorge Viana

$953 Vol.

9%

icon for Dr. Junior Feitosa

Dr. Junior Feitosa

$378 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Inacio Moreira

Professor Inacio Moreira

$602 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Velloso

Eduardo Velloso

$463 Vol.

<1%

icon for Petecão

Petecão

$892 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest among experienced candidates with strong name recognition, including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), former governor Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT). Recent polling from June and July shows Cameli often leading first-preference votes while Bittar and Viana compete closely for the second, with consolidated results indicating technical ties within margins of error due to voters selecting two senators. This dynamic, combined with limited new surveys since late July and ongoing party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains uncertainty over who secures first place. Further polling, campaign events, or legal resolutions could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,791
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest among experienced candidates with strong name recognition, including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), former governor Gladson Cameli (PP), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT). Recent polling from June and July shows Cameli often leading first-preference votes while Bittar and Viana compete closely for the second, with consolidated results indicating technical ties within margins of error due to voters selecting two senators. This dynamic, combined with limited new surveys since late July and ongoing party alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains uncertainty over who secures first place. Further polling, campaign events, or legal resolutions could shift positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,791
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Acre Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcio Bittar" at 44%, followed by "Mara Rocha" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Acre Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Acre Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Acre Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Marcio Bittar" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mara Rocha" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Acre Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.