Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first-round victory, driven by the state's longstanding conservative voter base and consistent polling leads for the PL candidate. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 42% against Lula's 25%, with all other contenders in single digits, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data findings of 50% support. Regional preferences for Bolsonarista platforms on security and economic issues, combined with limited local traction for national alternatives, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign surges by candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal, turnout changes among undecided voters, or national events altering state dynamics before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,145 Vol.
97%
Lula
$215 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$223 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$285 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$223 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$243 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$223 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$270 Vol.
1%
Samara
$270 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$278 Vol.
1%
Zema
$270 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$297 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$281 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first-round victory, driven by the state's longstanding conservative voter base and consistent polling leads for the PL candidate. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 42% against Lula's 25%, with all other contenders in single digits, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data findings of 50% support. Regional preferences for Bolsonarista platforms on security and economic issues, combined with limited local traction for national alternatives, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign surges by candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal, turnout changes among undecided voters, or national events altering state dynamics before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,219End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first-round victory, driven by the state's longstanding conservative voter base and consistent polling leads for the PL candidate. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 42% against Lula's 25%, with all other contenders in single digits, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data findings of 50% support. Regional preferences for Bolsonarista platforms on security and economic issues, combined with limited local traction for national alternatives, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign surges by candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal, turnout changes among undecided voters, or national events altering state dynamics before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$7,219End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first-round victory, driven by the state's longstanding conservative voter base and consistent polling leads for the PL candidate. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 42% against Lula's 25%, with all other contenders in single digits, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data findings of 50% support. Regional preferences for Bolsonarista platforms on security and economic issues, combined with limited local traction for national alternatives, underpin trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign surges by candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal, turnout changes among undecided voters, or national events altering state dynamics before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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