Recent August polling in Paraná shows a fragmented field for the two open Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in consolidated first- and second-preference measures amid 30-50% undecided or blank responses. Trader pricing reflects this volatility plus Deltan’s recent eligibility clarification from the Ministério Público Eleitoral, which removed a prior legal overhang without shifting the broader race. The dual-vote system and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep first-place probabilities compressed, with separation likely hinging on turnout among center-right versus left-leaning blocs or late campaign events before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeltan Dallagnol 40%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 23%
Cristina Reis Graeml 4.5%
$18,309 Vol.
$18,309 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
40%
Filipe Barros
19%
Alexandre Curi
23%
Cristina Reis Graeml
5%
Gleisi
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
3%
Joaquim do MLB
3%
Karen Guerreiro
3%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Deltan Dallagnol 40%
Filipe Barros 28%
Alexandre Curi 23%
Cristina Reis Graeml 4.5%
$18,309 Vol.
$18,309 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
$12,216 Vol.
40%
Filipe Barros
$1,825 Vol.
19%
Alexandre Curi
$2,505 Vol.
23%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$194 Vol.
5%
Gleisi
$449 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
$384 Vol.
3%
Joaquim do MLB
$219 Vol.
3%
Karen Guerreiro
$329 Vol.
3%
Dr. Rosinha
$188 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polling in Paraná shows a fragmented field for the two open Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in consolidated first- and second-preference measures amid 30-50% undecided or blank responses. Trader pricing reflects this volatility plus Deltan’s recent eligibility clarification from the Ministério Público Eleitoral, which removed a prior legal overhang without shifting the broader race. The dual-vote system and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep first-place probabilities compressed, with separation likely hinging on turnout among center-right versus left-leaning blocs or late campaign events before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$18,309End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polling in Paraná shows a fragmented field for the two open Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in consolidated first- and second-preference measures amid 30-50% undecided or blank responses. Trader pricing reflects this volatility plus Deltan’s recent eligibility clarification from the Ministério Público Eleitoral, which removed a prior legal overhang without shifting the broader race. The dual-vote system and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep first-place probabilities compressed, with separation likely hinging on turnout among center-right versus left-leaning blocs or late campaign events before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,309End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August polling in Paraná shows a fragmented field for the two open Senate seats, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in consolidated first- and second-preference measures amid 30-50% undecided or blank responses. Trader pricing reflects this volatility plus Deltan’s recent eligibility clarification from the Ministério Público Eleitoral, which removed a prior legal overhang without shifting the broader race. The dual-vote system and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep first-place probabilities compressed, with separation likely hinging on turnout among center-right versus left-leaning blocs or late campaign events before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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