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icon for Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

Helio Bolsonaro 31.7%

Chico Rodrigues 24%

Teresa Surita 16%

Nicoletti 9.0%

Polymarket

$22,787 Vol.

Helio Bolsonaro 31.7%

Chico Rodrigues 24%

Teresa Surita 16%

Nicoletti 9.0%

Polymarket

$22,787 Vol.

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$6,017 Vol.

32%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$3,759 Vol.

24%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$6,167 Vol.

16%

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$3,856 Vol.

9%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$303 Vol.

4%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$350 Vol.

1%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$445 Vol.

1%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$323 Vol.

1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$292 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate contest features 13 registered candidates competing for two seats, producing a fragmented field that keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) seeks re-election alongside challengers including Teresa Surita (MDB), former Boa Vista mayor with strong local recognition, and PL candidates Helio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes), who transferred his voter registration from Rio de Janeiro with explicit backing from the Bolsonaro family, and federal deputy Nicoletti. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have highlighted vote-splitting risks within the right-leaning bloc, while older surveys showed Surita and Rodrigues competitive but left room for shifts among undecided voters. Trader consensus on second place reflects these structural factors—multiple viable bases, limited recent polling, and the mechanics of a multi-candidate first-round vote—rather than any single dominant trajectory. Upcoming campaign events and alliance consolidations through early October could widen gaps by clarifying turnout patterns across the state's municipalities.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,787
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate contest features 13 registered candidates competing for two seats, producing a fragmented field that keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders.** Incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) seeks re-election alongside challengers including Teresa Surita (MDB), former Boa Vista mayor with strong local recognition, and PL candidates Helio Bolsonaro (Hélio Lopes), who transferred his voter registration from Rio de Janeiro with explicit backing from the Bolsonaro family, and federal deputy Nicoletti. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have highlighted vote-splitting risks within the right-leaning bloc, while older surveys showed Surita and Rodrigues competitive but left room for shifts among undecided voters. Trader consensus on second place reflects these structural factors—multiple viable bases, limited recent polling, and the mechanics of a multi-candidate first-round vote—rather than any single dominant trajectory. Upcoming campaign events and alliance consolidations through early October could widen gaps by clarifying turnout patterns across the state's municipalities.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,787
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Helio Bolsonaro" at 32%, followed by "Chico Rodrigues" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $22.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Helio Bolsonaro" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chico Rodrigues" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.